摘要
基于供给侧改革的理论分析框架,从要素供给、产业供给和制度供给3个维度构建供给侧改革效率测度指标体系,分别测度2012—2018年京津冀13个城市的供给侧改革效率和供给侧改革区域协同,并运用变形地图识别二者空间关联,利用格兰杰因果检验分析二者互动关系。结果表明:(1)2012—2018年各市供给侧改革效率存在较大差异,北京、天津、石家庄、秦皇岛、承德等均有所提升,其他城市呈先减后增的发展趋势,受制度供给效率影响较大。(2)2012—2018年各市供给侧改革区域协同指数大体呈先下降后上升趋势,且增速具有趋同趋势。(3)供给侧改革效率呈现出以北京和天津为高值中心的空间格局,而供给侧改革区域协同呈现以北京和天津为低值中心的空间格局。(4)供给侧改革效率不是供给侧改革区域协同的格兰杰原因,而供给侧改革区域协同是供给侧改革效率的格兰杰原因,但京津冀供给侧改革区域协同尚未对供给侧改革效率产生显著影响。
Based on the theoretical analysis framework of supply-side reform,this paper constructs an index system of supply-side reform efficiency from three dimensions:factor supply,industrial supply and system supply,measures the supply-side reform efficiency and regional synergies of 13 cities in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei from 2012 to 2018,identifies the spatial correlation between the two by using deformable maps,and analyzes their interactive relationship by using Granger cause and effect test.The results are as follows:(1)There are significant differences in the efficiency of supply-side reform.Beijing,Tianjin,Shijiazhuang,Qinhuangdao and Chengde have improved,the remaining shows a trend of decreasing first and then increasing,which is greatly affected by the efficiency of system supply.(2)The regional synergy index of supply-side reform generally shows a downward and upward trend,and the growth rate has a convergent trend.(3)The efficiency of supply-side reform shows a spatial pattern with Beijing and Tianjin as the high-value center,while regional coordination shows a spatial pattern with Beijing and Tianjin as the low-value center.(4)Supply-side reform efficiency is not the Granger cause of supply-side reform regional synergy,while supply-side reform regional synergy is the Granger cause of supply-side reform efficiency,but Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei supply-side reform regional synergy has not significantly affected by supply-side reform efficiency.
作者
王韶华
赵暘春
何美璇
张伟
刘熙宁
WANG Shaohua;ZHAO Yangchun;HE Meixuan;ZHANG Wei;LIU Xining(School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004,China;Research Center of Regional Economic Development, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004, China)
出处
《地域研究与开发》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第2期20-26,共7页
Areal Research and Development
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(19CJL035)
2020年度河北省社会科学发展研究重点课题(20200201002)。
关键词
供给侧改革
效率
区域协同
变形地图
京津冀
supply-side reform
efficiency
regional synergies
deformation map
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei
作者简介
王韶华(1986-),男,河北邢台市人,教授,博士,主要从事绿色发展、区域经济研究,(E-mail)wangshaohua0813@126.com。
