摘要
科学把握数字经济与居民消费关系,对扩展新发展格局中的消费新市场具有重要意义。文章从资本结构视角出发,将数字经济与居民消费纳入新古典分析框架阐释作用机制;并利用熵值法测算2005-2019年我国31个省区市数字经济发展指数;同时,采用系统GMM、中介效应与动态面板门槛模型对理论模型的结论进行实证检验。研究发现:(1)数字经济发展促进均衡产出增长,并带来最优居民消费支出以均衡产出为中枢呈现循环往复螺旋上升趋势的结果;(2)数字经济发展不仅可以直接提高居民消费水平,还可通过促进经济增长间接提高居民消费水平;(3)数字经济对居民消费存在着显著的产出门槛效应。实证结果与稳健性检验也说明了理论分析的合理性。因此,引导数字经济的资本形成过程,加大"新基建"投入力度以实现数字经济发展与居民消费扩张的有机统一,有利于促进新发展格局的形成。
A scientific grasp of the relationship between digital economy and household consumption is of great significance for expanding the new consumer market in the new development pattern.From capital structure perspective,the digital economy and residents'consumption in Neoclassical analysis framework to interpret mechanism.The entropy method was used to measure the digital economy development index of 31 provinces and municipalities from 2005 to 2019,and the SYS-GMM,mediating effect and dynamic panel threshold model were used to empirically test the conclusions of the theoretical model.Basic conclusions:(1)the digital economy development can make the optimal equilibrium output consumer spending as central shows the result of cycle has risen in a spiral;(2)The development of digital economy can not only directly improve the level of consumer spending,but also indirectly expand consumer spending by promoting economic growth;(3)The digital economy has a significant threshold effect on household consumption.The empirical results and robustness tests show the rationality of the theoretical analysis.Therefore,guiding the formation of digital economy capital to realize the organic unity of digital economy development and consumer expansion is conducive to the formation of a new development pattern.
作者
向国成
石校菲
邝劲松
XIANG Guo-cheng;SHI Xiao-fei;KUANG Jing-song(China Research Center for Common Prosperity,Hunan Technology and Business University,Changsha 410205,Hunan,China;Key Laboratory of Digital Economy and High-quality Development,Hunan Technology and Business University,Changsha 410205,Hunan,China)
出处
《消费经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第5期44-55,共12页
Consumer Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目(20BTJ011)
湖南省研究生科研创新项目(CX20211124)
湖南省教育厅科学研究一般项目(19C1032)
。
关键词
数字经济
资本结构
居民消费
中介效应
动态面板门槛效应
Digital Economy
Capital Structure
Household Consumption
Mediating Effect
Dynamic Panel Threshold Effect
作者简介
向国成(1965-),男,湖南岳阳人,博士,湖南工商大学中国共同富裕研究中心主任、教授、博士生导师;石校菲(1997-),男,湖南邵阳人,湖南工商大学中国共同富裕研究中心硕士研究生;通讯作者:邝劲松(1971-),男,湖南郴州人,博士,湖南工商大学湖南省数字经济与高质量发展重点实验室研究员。
