摘要
通过查找相关资料,该文搜集了吉林省1991—2020年的经济类数据,经过lasso变量选择从中选取有代表性的变量与GDP建立VAR模型,运用单位根检验、脉冲响应函数等分析方法,对吉林省的宏观经济发展做出实际性阐述。通过分析得出结论:财政政策、进出口贸易规模、失业率及人均消费水平在不同程度上促进着吉林省经济的增长。该文搜集到的数据较为广泛,通过建立模型得出的结论更加接近实际情况。
By searching for relevant data,this paper collected the economic data of Jilin Province from 1991 to 2020,selected representative variables from Lasso variable selection and establishes VAR model with GDP,and uses Unit Root Test,impulse response function and other analysis methods to make a practical description of the macroeconomic development of Jilin Province.Through analysis,it is concluded that fiscal policy,import and export trade scale,unemployment rate and per capita consumption level promote the economic growth of Jilin Province to varying degrees.The data collected in this paper is more extensive,and the conclusion obtained by establishing the model is closer to the actual situation.
作者
邢蕾
李璐涵
XING Lei;LI Luhan(School of Mathematics and Statistics,Changchun University of Technology,Changchun,Jilin Province,130012 China)
出处
《科技资讯》
2021年第24期107-110,共4页
Science & Technology Information
基金
国家自然科学基金青年科学基金资助项目(项目编号:11901055)。
关键词
宏观经济
变量选择
单位根检验
脉冲响应函数
Macroeconomics
Variable selection
Unit Root Test
Impulse response function
作者简介
邢蕾(1981-),女,博士,讲师,研究方向为金融数学;通信作者:李璐涵(1997-),女,硕士,研究方向为金融数学,E-mail:liluhan1997@163.com。
