摘要
新冠肺炎疫情爆发,旅游业首当其冲遭遇重大打击。本次疫情对旅游经济将产生多大的影响,如何应对危机促进旅游业恢复,成为当前亟需回答的问题。本文测算短期与全年旅游经济因疫情造成的损失,以1999—2018年国内旅游收入数据建立时间序列回归模型,验证国内旅游经济已经具备自增长能力,指出疫情后旅游业发生的重要变化包括健康成为旅游的重要需求、城市“温度”成为影响旅游目的地选择的重要因素、线上线下融合成为旅游新方式,提出应对疫情可采取的策略。
With the outbreak of new coronavirus pneumonia,tourism industry is facing the first impact.How much impact the epidemic will have on the tourism economy,and how to deal with the crisis to promote the recovery of the tourism industry have become urgent questions.This paper calculates the losses of tourism economy caused by the epidemic in the short term and the whole year,establishes a time series regression model based on the data of domestic tourism revenue in 1999-2018,verifies that the domestic tourism economy has the ability of self-growth,and points out that the important changes of tourism industry after the epidemic include health becoming an important demand for tourism,urban“temperature”becoming an important factor affecting the selection of tourism destinations,and online Offline integration has become a new way of tourism,and strategies to deal with the epidemic are proposed.
作者
游静
彭国川
李强
YOU Jing;PENG Guo-chuan;LI Qiang(Chongqing University of Science and Technology,401331,Chongqing,China;Chongqing Academy of Social Science,400015,Chongqing,China)
出处
《特区经济》
2020年第7期85-88,共4页
Special Zone Economy
基金
国家社科基金资助(“互联网+医疗健康”服务模式创新研究,19XGL003)
重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目资助(重庆智慧康养服务模式创新研究,19SKGH199)。
关键词
新冠肺炎疫情
旅游经济
应对策略
coronavirus pneumonia
tourism economy
coping strategies
作者简介
游静(1977-),女,重庆长寿人,博士,教授。研究方向:技术创新;彭国川(1975-),男,重庆长寿人,博士,研究员。研究方向:旅游与生态经济。
