摘要
[目的/意义]对国内外新兴技术识别方法进行系统梳理,总结研究现状,分析存在问题,为今后新兴技术识别方法的研究提供参考。[方法/过程]在文献调研与计量分析的基础上,归纳总结目前主流的新兴技术识别方法,结合典型案例分析各类方法的特征及其在新兴技术识别过程中的优缺点,并为未来新兴技术识别方法研究提出建议。[结果/结论]目前的新兴技术识别方法既有定量的,也有定性的,常见的方法包括基于测度模型、文献计量以及文本挖掘的方法,且越来越倾向于多方法融合应用,不过现有研究仍然存在一些不足。未来对新兴技术识别方法的研究应该加强对新兴技术本质特征的探究,加强具体识别方法对新兴技术的解释意义,以及从数据源、识别方法两方面共同提升新兴技术识别的时效性;同时,还应该加强对新兴技术识别中多源数据有效融合与应用方法的探索。
[Purpose/significance]The paper systematically analyzes the identification methods of emerging technologies at home and abroad,then summarizes research status and analyzes existing problems to provide reference for future research on identification methods of emerging technologies.[Method/process]On the basis of literature research and bibliometric analysis,this paper summarized the current mainstream identification methods of emerging technologies and analyzed its characteristics and its impact on the research of identification methods of emerging technologies combined with typical cases,then proposed suggestions for future research on identification methods of emerging technologies.[Result/conclusion]The current identification methods of emerging technologies conclude quantitative methods and qualitative methods.The common identification methods of emerging technologies are mainly based on measurement models,bibliometrics and text mining methods,and they are increasingly inclined to be multi-method fusion.However,there are still some deficiencies in the research.Future research on identification methods of emerging technologies should strengthen the exploration of the essential characteristics of emerging technologies,and strengthen the interpretation of specific identification methods to emerging technologies,and promote the timeliness of identification of emerging technologies from data sources and identification methods as well as Strengthen the exploration of effective fusion methods and application methods of multi-source data in the identification of emerging technologies.
作者
王玏
吴新年
Wang Le;Wu Xinnian(Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000;Lanzhou Library of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000;Department of Library,Information and Archives Management,School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049)
出处
《图书情报工作》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第4期125-135,共11页
Library and Information Service
关键词
新兴技术
技术识别
识别方法
emerging technology
echnology identification
identification methods
作者简介
王玏(ORCID:0000-0001-9065-8495),硕士研究生;通讯作者:吴新年(0RCID:0000-0002-7865-9548),研究员,博士,博士生导师,E-mail:wusn@lzb.ac.cn。
