摘要
运用贸易引力模型并引入相关变量,构建影响中巴双边农产品贸易主要因素模型并对其进行实证研究,结果表明:经济规模总量(Gdp)、市场价格水平(Price)、自贸区成员(Fta)、人口数量(Pop)、农业用地面积(Land)对中巴双边农产品贸易产生显著正向影响,而地理距离(Dist)、外汇汇率(Exch)波动则呈显著负向影响。中国应优化农产品贸易商品结构,抓住"一带一路""中巴经济走廊"及中巴自由贸易区协定等政策机遇,加快"中巴经济走廊"通道建设,加速推进跨境贸易结算,挖掘双边农业教育、农业技术、农业产业园区等合作潜力,促进双边农产品贸易持续稳定增长。
Using the trade gravity model and introducing relevant variables, this paper constructs a model of main factors affecting the bilateral agricultural trade between China and Pakistan and conducts an empirical study on it.The results show that the total economic scale(Gdp), market price level(Price), free trade zone members(Fta),population(Pop), and agricultural land area(Land) have a significant positive impact on China-Pakistan bilateral agricultural trade, while geographical distance(Dist) and foreign exchange rate(Exch) fluctuations have a significant negative impact on it. China should optimize the commodity structure of agricultural trade, seize the policy opportunities of the "Belt and Road Initiative", "China-Pakistan Economic Corridor" and the China-Pakistan Free Trade Area Agreement, accelerate the construction of the "China-Pakistan Economic Corridor" and the settlement of cross-border trade, and explore the cooperation potential of bilateral agricultural education, agricultural technology, and agricultural industrial parks, in order to promote the sustained and steady growth of bilateral agricultural trade.
作者
玛依努尔
赵军
MA Yi-nuer;ZHAO Jun(School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang University,Urumqi,Xinjiang 830046;School of Business,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi,Xinjiang 830017)
出处
《价格月刊》
北大核心
2019年第11期32-37,共6页
基金
国家社会科学基金西部项目(编号：18XGL002)
新疆师范大学“十三五”重点学科应用经济学招标课题(编号：17SDKD0405)
关键词
中巴经济走廊
农产品贸易
增长特质
引力模型
China—Pakistan Economic Corridor
agricultural trade
growth trait
gravity model
作者简介
玛依努尔(1976.5-),女,维吾尔,新疆伊犁,新疆大学经济与管理学院世界经济专业博士研究生,新疆师范大学商学院讲师,主要研究方向为世界经济;赵军(1961.9-),女,汉,北京,新疆大学经济与管理学院教授,博士生导师,主要研究方向为世界经济、财政金融。
