摘要
结合业务化海洋预报的实际需求,探讨了一种新的中尺度涡检验方法——匹配检验方法,并以此为基础提出了中尺度涡的检验评分方案。业务化预报检验,是开展中尺度涡业务化预报必要组成部分,本文提出的技巧评分方案,能够更客观地表述模式模拟或预报的中尺度涡的准确预报、空报和漏报,更好地掌握预报的质量和表现,为中尺度涡业务化预报提供更符合业务化实际的检验方案和方法指导。
Aiming for the need of operational ocean forecasting, a new mesoscale eddy verification method named matching verification is discussed, based on which a scoring scheme for mesoscale eddy verification is proposed in this paper. Verification is an essential component of the mesoscale eddy operational forecasting. The proposed scoring scheme subjectively describes the accuracy in modeling or forecasting mesoscale eddies, which is helpful in monitoring the quality and performance of the forecast. The scheme provides a verification approach and method guidance for the operational forecasting of mesoscale eddies in practice.
作者
匡晓迪
李竞时
李云
KUANG Xiao-di;LI Jing-shi;LI Yun(National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center,Beijing 100081 China)
出处
《海洋预报》
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第2期1-8,共8页
Marine Forecasts
基金
国家重点研发计划(2016YFC1401800)
海洋环境安全保障专项(2016YFC1401802)
关键词
中尺度涡
匹配检验
业务化预报
检验方法
mesoscale eddy
matching verification
operational forecasting
verification method
作者简介
匡晓迪(1984-),女,助理研究员,硕士,主要从事数值预报解释应用。E-mail:kuangxd@nmefc.cn.
