摘要
                
                    文章基于2015年全国流动人口动态监测数据,运用一般性统计描述和二分类Logistic回归模型考察东北地区跨区域与区域内两类流动人口城市融入的特征和影响因素。结果发现流动范围对收入的"乘数效应"并没有相应转化为城市融入能力。跨区域流动人口的收入水平高于区域内流动人口,但其中多数群体的城市融入能力滞后于城市融入意愿,而区域内流动人口就近就地融入城市的能力较强;流动人口存在一定程度的"错位城市融入":部分愿意回到流出地市县的城镇、流出地乡镇的城镇购房置业的流动人口受限于流出地的就业机会和工资水平,其中绝大多数仍会选择外出就业,即未来意向定居地和当前就业地不一致;自雇就业者的城市融入意愿和融入能力高于受雇就业者,但自雇就业者与受雇就业者中收入最低的10%的人月平均收入相同,同属于需要特别关注的群体。农业户口流动人口的城市融入意愿和融入能力低于非农业户口流动人口。但是在东北地区内部庞大的农业户口流动人口群体更有可能就近就地融入城市。政府应进一步加大基本公共服务供给,保障流动人口合法权益,提供良好营商环境,推进东北地区"四化同步"高质量发展,促进流动人口就近就地融入城镇。
                
                Based on dynamic monitoring data of national migrant in 2015,and through general statistical description and binary logistic regression model,characteristics and influencing factors of migrant population merging into urban society in cross-regional and intra-regional Northeast China are analyzed. The result shows that “Multiplier Effect” of migrant scope on income doesn’t accordingly transform into the ability of merging into urban society. The income level of cross-regional migrant population is higher than that of intra-regional population. However,the ability of the majority of migrant merging into urban society lags behind their willingness. The ability of intra-regional migrant merging into near urban society is relatively greater.“Dislocation between futrue intentional settlement place and current employment one”exists to some extend. Part of migrant are willing to go back to hometown to buy houses,but limited by employment opportunities and wage levels,a large majority of them will choose to seek outside employment. This means there will be difference between their future intentional settlement place and current employment one. The willingness and ability of merging into urban society of self-employed population are higher than employees’. Moreover,ton percont of the lowest monthly average income of self-employed population is the same with employees’,who needs our special attention. The willingness and ability of merging into urban society of migrant under agriculture account are lower than those under non-agriculture account. However,in intra-regional Northeast China,the large amount of migrant under agriculture account are more likely to merge into near urban sociey. The government should further strengthen basic public service supply,guarantee the legal interest of migrant,provide good business environment,promote high-quality development of“Four Modernizations’Synchronization”,and encourage migrant to merge into near urban society.
    
    
                作者
                    王晓峰
                    张幸福
                WANG Xiaofeng;ZHANG Xingfu(Center for Northeast Asian Studies,Jilin University,Changchun Jilin,130012,China;Heilongjiang Provincial Health Development Research Center,Harbin Heilongjiang,150030,China)
     
    
    
                出处
                
                    《人口学刊》
                        
                                CSSCI
                                北大核心
                        
                    
                        2019年第2期43-53,共11页
                    
                
                    Population Journal
     
            
                基金
                    教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目:中日韩应对老龄化政策比较研究(15JJD810009)
                    国家卫计委流动人口司委托项目:东北地区人口与发展研究
            
    
                关键词
                    城市融入
                    流动人口
                    流动范围
                    就业身份
                
                        Merging into Urban Society
                        Migrant
                        Migrant Scope
                        Employment Identification
                
     
    
    
                作者简介
王晓峰(1967-),男,吉林长春人,吉林大学东北亚研究中心教授;张幸福(1971-),男,河南驻马店人,吉林大学东北亚研究院博士研究生,黑龙江省卫生发展研究中心助理研究员。