摘要
研究目标:中国对"一带一路"沿线新兴国家、发展中国家直接投资的产能合作效率。研究方法:基于2003～2015年我国对"一带一路"沿线24个国家OFDI、进口、出口、研发资本存量等数据,分析逆向效率溢出的门槛效应。研究发现:OFDI的逆向效率溢出具有典型的单门槛非线性特征和显著的正效应,中国整体上进入跨国产能合作高效率溢出阶段;OFDI与研发投入、进口共同成为提升地区产能合作效率的关键。研究创新:首次运用Hansen非线性面板门槛模型,甄别影响跨国产能合作的关键因素,分析了中国对"一带一路"沿线新兴国家、发展中国家OFDI的产能合作效率问题。研究价值:为各地区、各部门提升与"一带一路"沿线国家直接投资的产能合作效率提供决策依据。
Research Objectives:Study the efficiency of production capacity cooperation between China and the emerging countries and developing countries along the Belt and Road.Research Methods:Based on the data of OFDI,import,export,and R&D capital stocks of 24 countries along the Belt and Road between 2003 and 2015,the threshold effect of reverse efficiency spillovers is analyzed.Research Findings:It is found that the inverse efficiency spillover of OFDI has a typical nonlinear single threshold and a significant positive effect.China,as a whole,entered the stage of high efficiency spillover of multinational capacity cooperation.OFDI,together with R&D investment and imports,has become the key to improving regional productivity cooperation.Research Innovations:The Hansen nonlinear panel threshold model is used for the first time to identify key factors affecting multinational capacity cooperation to analyze China s capacity cooperation efficiency of OFDI in emerging countries and developing countries along the Belt and Road.Research Value:It will provide decision-making basis for all regions and departments to increase productivity cooperation efficiency along the Belt and Road.
作者
杜龙政
林伟芬
Du Longzheng;Lin Weifen(School of Business Administration,Inner Mongolia University of Finance and Economics;Research Center for International Trade&Economic, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies)
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第12期3-21,共19页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"培育我国国际竞争新优势
建设贸易强国的战略路径研究"(16JZD018)
国家自然科学基金科学基金项目"知识网络
社会网络的互动机制及其对企业创新绩效影响"(71772096)
内蒙古社会科学规划基金重点项目"产业链治理视角下的内蒙古转变经济发展方式研究"(2017NDA061)
