摘要
本文选取郑西高铁沿线城市为研究对象,研究2006年至2015年间各城市的社会消费品零售总额的变化情况,建立回归方程并用灰色模型预测各城市的社会消费品零售总额,并采用有无对比的方法进行分析,结果表明,郑西高铁开通后,对沿线小城市的经济产生了离散效应,出现了虹吸效应.
In this paper,the data of the total retail sales of social consumer goods of the cities along the Zhengzhou Xi’an High speed Railway from 2006 to 2015 was analyzed.The regression equation was established and the grey model was used to forecast the total retail sales of social consumer goods in each city.The data was then analyzed through the"with and without comparison method".The results show that operation of the Zhengzhou Xi’an High speed Railway has produced discrete effect on the economy of small cities along the line,and that siphon effect also occured following the operation.
作者
汝楠
王久梗
RU Nan;WANG Jiu-geng(School of Economics and Management,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,China;Gansu Logistics and Information Technology Research Institute,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,China)
出处
《兰州交通大学学报》
CAS
2018年第5期117-122,共6页
Journal of Lanzhou Jiaotong University
基金
中共甘肃省委政策研究室项目(ZYSZK2018-03)
关键词
郑西高铁
灰色模型
社会消费品零售总额
虹吸效应
Zhengzhou Xi’an high speed railway
grey model
total retail sales of consumer goods
the siphon effect
作者简介
汝楠(1993-),女,甘肃平凉人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为物流管理.E-mail:673060694@qq.com.
