摘要
本文根据大洋河年径流系列数据,应用马尔科夫链定性预测模型,预报未来年份的年径流量的趋势。经比较,预测年径流量状态与实际情况基本相符,预测效果良好,可在防洪调度、水利、水电等领域进行中长期预报应用。
In the paper,Markov chain qualitative prediction model is applied for forecasting the trend of annual runoff in the future according to annual runoff serious data in Dayang River.The forecast annual runoff status is basically in line with the actual situation by comparison.The forecast effect is excellent.It can be forecast and applied for medium and long term in the fields of flood control scheduling,water conservancy,hydropower,etc.
作者
彭军
PENG Jun(Liaoning Anshan Hydrographic Office,Anshan 114039,China)
出处
《水资源开发与管理》
2018年第3期62-64,共3页
Water Resources Development and Management
