摘要
随着经济的快速增长,生态环境的问题日益凸显,经济增长与生态环境的协调可持续发展成为一个热点话题.通过构造省域经济增长和生态环境系统指标体系,引用熵值法客观赋值,利用协调度模型,测算出全国30个省的协调度,再引用空间自回归模型(SAR)对其影响因素进行空间计量分析.结果表明:2009—2015年全国各省全局Moran's I指数均显著为正,空间正相关明显,空间自回归系数ρ显著为正,表明经济增长和生态环境的协调度在省域之间存在着空间溢出效应,城镇化和技术进步对协调度具有显著正向影响,工业化程度具有显著的负向影响,人口规模的影响不够显著.
With the rapid economic growth, the problem of ecological environment is getting more serious, and the coor-dinated and sustainable economic and environmental development has become a hot topic. Index system of provincial economic growth and ecological environment system is constructed and the entropy method is used to calculate the coor-dination degree of 30 provinces in China. In addition, spatial autocorrelation model （SAR） is used to carry out spatial econometrics analysis on the influencing factors. The results show that the global Moran＇s I index is significantly positive and the spatial positive correlation is significant in the 2009-2015, and the spatial autoregressive coefficient p is sig^fifi- can@ positive. These indicare that the economic growth and the coordination degree of the ecological environment ap-pear a mutually positive situation, urbanization and technological progress have a significant positive impact, the nega-tive impact of the degree of industrialization is significant, and the population size is not significant enough.
作者
俞会新
王玮
YU Huixin;WANG Wei(School of Economics and Management,Hebei University of Technology,Tianjin 300401,China)
出处
《河北工业大学学报》
CAS
2018年第5期100-105,共6页
Journal of Hebei University of Technology
基金
河北省住建厅项目(河北省生态城市建设环境承载力研究)
关键词
经济增长
生态环境
协调度
空间自回归
影响因素
economic growth
ecological environment
coordination degree
spatial autoregTessive
influencing factors
作者简介
俞会新（1966-），女，教授，博士生导师．
