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中国与“一带一路”沿线国家贸易成本弹性测度与分析:基于超对数引力模型 被引量:12

Measuring and Analyzing the Trade Cost Elasticity between China and Countries of "One Belt,One Road" : Based on Translog Gravity Model
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摘要 Novy(2013)超越对数引力模型使贸易成本内生化,更符合现实情况。文章在其基础上测度并分析2007~2014年中国与"一带一路"沿线国家贸易成本弹性,研究结果显示,中国与"一带一路"沿线国家的贸易成本弹性不断下降,但均大于0;从洲际来看,中国与亚洲国家的平均贸易成本弹性变化大于中国与欧洲国家的平均贸易成本弹性变化;从区域来看,中国与中亚、东盟的平均贸易成本弹性变化大于中国与西亚、南亚、东亚的平均贸易成本弹性变化,中国与中东欧的平均贸易成本弹性大于中国与独联体的平均贸易成本弹性。中国应通过降低贸易成本,加大与"一带一路"沿线国家的贸易合作,创造贸易效应。 This paper measures and analyzes trade cost between China and"One Belt,One Road(OBOR)"based on translog gravity model.Results show that trade costs elasticity between China and OBOR are bigger than zero from 2007 to 2014.From the intercontinental respect,average trade costs elasticity between China and Asia countries is higher than that between China and Europe Asia countries.From the respect of region,average trade costs elasticity between China and central Asia,the association of southeast Asian nations are higher than that between China and West Asia,South Asia,East Asia.Average trade costs elasticity between China and Central and Eastern Europe is higher than that between China and Commonwealth of Independent States.China should decrease trade cost and increases trade cooperation with OBOR countries to create trade effects.
作者 张静 武拉平
出处 《世界经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2018年第3期69-80,共12页 World Economy Studies
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