摘要
研究目标:对中国包容性增长进行科学测度,并探究影响包容性增长的因素。研究方法:使用广义Bonferroni曲线和社会包容度指数测度中国经济增长的包容度,并使用面板回归模型探究中国包容性增长的影响因素。研究发现:国家层面仅达到"基本包容"状态;农村地区经济增长缺乏包容性,城镇地区经济增长更具包容性。面板回归结果表明:人均GDP、金融深化、地方公共财政支出、产业结构、人力资本存量、劳动生产率会促进经济增长更具包容性,通货膨胀和失业率会抑制包容性增长,而FDI和投资等因素对包容性增长的影响并不显著。研究创新:将广义Bonferroni曲线和社会包容度指数用于中国包容性增长测度。研究价值:为中国包容性增长的量化测度提供新的视角,为中国经济增长包容度的提高提供政策启示。
Research Objectives： Scientifically measuring China＇s inclusive growth and exploring the factors that affect inclusive growth. Research Methods： This paper uses the generalized Bon- ferroni curve and Social inclusion index to measure the inclusiveness of China＇s economic growth, and explores the influencing factors of inclusive growth in China using the panel re- gression model. Research Findings： At the national level, economic growth only achieves ＂basic inclusive＂ state; at the level of urban and rural areas, the economic growth in rural areas lacks of inclusiveness, and the economic growth in urban areas is more inclusive than in rural areas. The panel regression results show that： per capita GDP, financial deepening, lo- cal fiscal expenditure, industrial structure, human capital stock, and labor productivity will promote economic growth more inclusive, inflation and unemployment will restrain inclusive growth, while FDI and investment is not significant. Research Innovations： The generalized Bonferroni curve and social inclusion index are used in China＇s inclusive growth measure- ment. Research Value： Providing a new perspective for quantitative measurement of inclusive growth in China, and providing policy enlightenment for the improvement of economic growth inclusiveness.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第12期93-109,共17页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD171)
国家社会科学基金项目(15BTJ001)的资助
