摘要
文章基于面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型研究欧盟可再生能源消费与经济增长之间的动态关系,实证检验不同情景下可再生能源消费增长对GDP增长的动态冲击效应。研究表明:欧盟可再生能源消费增长有利于减少CO2排放,但牺牲了经济增长;2008年前后可再生能源消费增长的经济代价存在差异,2008年前可再生能源消费增长对经济增长的负向影响更大;不同经济发展水平成员国的可再生能源消费增长对经济增长的影响呈现相反方向,人均GDP较高成员国的可再生能源消费增长对经济增长为正向影响;不同行业可再生能源消费增长对经济增长的影响存在差异,服务业的可再生能源消费增长对经济增长为正向影响;不同类型可再生能源消费增长对经济增长的影响不同,风能消费增长对经济增长为正向影响。研究结果可以更好地厘清在不同条件下可再生能源消费增长对经济增长的影响,为中国实现2030年可再生能源消费占比达到20%的政策目标提供理论指导和政策依据。
Based on the panel vector autoregressive(PVAR)model,dynamic relationship between EU renewable energy consumption and economic growth is examined,and the dynamic shock effect of renewable energy consumption growth on GDP growth under different circumstances is tested.The empirical results show that:EU renewable energy consumption growth is conducive to emission abatement but at the expense of economic growth.The impacts of renewable energy consumption on economic growth are different before and after 2008,and the negative impact is more significant before 2008.The impacts in countries of different economic development levels are different,and the impact is positive in countries of high economic level.The impacts in different sectors are different,and the impact is positive in service sector.The impacts of different types of renewable energy consumption on economic growth are different,and the impact of wind energy consumption is positive.The research results can better clarify the different impacts of renewable energy consumption growth on economic growth under different conditions,and provide theoretical guidance and policy basis to achieve China's 2030 renewable energy policy objective that renewable energy consumption will account for 20%in 2030.
出处
《世界经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第4期106-119,共14页
World Economy Studies
基金
欧盟Erasmus+让.莫内项目"欧盟经济一体化中的低碳经济及其政策(Low carbon economy and its policy in economic integration of EU)"(项目编号:564792-EPP-1-2015-1-CN-EPPJMO-CHAIR)的阶段性成果
