摘要
新常态下,经济增长对就业的拉动作用趋弱,作为政府宏观调控的重要工具,财政支出对就业具有重要影响。笔者采用2007—2013年我国30个省份的面板数据,考察了财政支出规模和结构对就业的影响,研究发现:我国财政支出对就业的影响存在滞后效应,滞后一期财政支出规模对就业具有正向影响。不同类型财政支出的就业效应差别较大,其中,经济建设支出对就业的影响不显著,技术支出只在当期内对就业有正向影响,教育和社会保障支出对就业的长期正向影响显著。政府可以通过调整财政支出规模和结构来实现"稳就业、调结构"的目标,加强对第三产业的支持,提高教育、技术和社会保障方面的财政支出比重,改善教育支出结构、技术创新激励机制和社会保障缴费体制。
Under the new normal, the effect of economic growth weak. As an important tool of government regulation, to promote employment is becoming fiscal expenditure has a significant impact on employment. We use the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2013 to examine the effects of scale and structure of expenditure on employment. The results show that ： there is a employment. The scale of fiscal expenditure lagged one has a positive impact on effect of fiscal expenditure on employment. The effects of four types of expenditure are different. Specifically, the effect of economic construction spending is not significant. Technology spending has a positive impact on employment only in the current period, while both education and social security spending have significant positive impacts in long term. Therefore, the government can adjust the scale and structure of fiscal expenditure to achieve the goal of ＂stabilizing employment, adjusting structure＂. The government should strengthen＇support for the tertiary industry, increase the proportion of expenditure in fields of education, technology and social security, and improve the expenditure structure of education, incentive mechanism of innovation and social security contributions system.
出处
《中央财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第12期22-30,共9页
Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"中国产业政策与竞争政策的有效性及协调机制研究"(项目编号:71473151)
关键词
新常态
经济增长
财政支出
就业效应
New normal Economic growth Financial expenditures Employment effect
作者简介
邱兆林，男，1985年1月生，山东大学经济学院博士研究生，研究方向为产业政策的绩效研究；
马磊，男，1985年3月生，山东大学经济学院博士研究生，研究方向为公共财政与经济增长。
