摘要
本文采用区位熵和空间自相关方法分析了我国物流产业集聚的时空演变特征。研究表明,我国物流业发展的空间分布存在显著的区域差异,物流增加值区位熵波动性显著,物流业集聚程度存在较强的空间自相关和空间异质性,总体上呈现集聚化发展倾向。借助主成分回归分析探讨我国物流产业集聚的影响因素,发现这7个因素对我国物流业集聚均为正向促进作用,影响程度由高到低依次为基础设施建设、经济发展水平、消费水平、工业发展水平、对外开放程度、人力资本和区位因素,以上7个要素每增长1%,相应的物流业增加值就依次上升0.205%、0.194%、0.192%、0.187%、0.145%、0.057%和0.019%。
The paper uses the method of location quotient index and spatial autocorrelation analysis about the logistics industry ag-glomeration as well as spatial and temporal evolution in China from 2003-2011 . It turns out that , there is a significant terrain difference in logistics industry development in China . The location quotient of the added value of logistics industry has volatility significantly . Logis-tics industry agglomeration has strong spatial autocorrelation and heterogeneity , and presents agglomerating development . Then , by using principal component analysis to explore the influence factors of logistics industry cluster , it shows that the seven factors has positive promot-ing effect on logistics industry agglomeration , and its influence degree from high to low is the construction of infrastructure , the level of e-conomic development , the consumption circulation scale , the level of industrial development , the openness , the human capital and the regional factors , and the above seven factors each increases 1% , the added value of logistics industry will grow by 0.205% 、0.194% 、0.192% 、0.187% 、0.145% 、0.057% and 0.019% .
出处
《工业技术经济》
北大核心
2015年第4期51-58,共8页
Journal of Industrial Technological Economics
基金
教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目"长江三角洲城市群空间协调发展研究"(项目编号:NCET100460)
关键词
物流产业
空间集聚
区位熵
空间自相关
logistics industry
spatial agglomeration
location quotient
spatial autocorrelation
作者简介
学守红，江南大学商学院教授，博士后。研究方向：城市地理和区域经济。
蔡海亚，江南大学商学院硕士研究生。研究方向：区域物流。
