摘要
文章根据2003~2013年中韩双边贸易数据,运用贸易结合度、贸易互补性指数和引力模型对中国与韩国之间的贸易现状和贸易潜力进行了实证分析。研究表明:虽然中韩贸易结合度和综合贸易互补性出现了微弱递减的趋势,但是中韩两国双边贸易规模大,增长快;中韩双边贸易潜力呈现出递增态势;随着中日韩自贸区的深入推进,中韩双边贸易潜力有很大的扩展空间。
This article makes an empirical analysis on the current situation and the future potentials of Sino-Korean bilateral trade based on the Panel Data from 2003 to 2012. Using Trade Intensity Index,Trade Complementarity Index and Gravity Model,we come to the following conclusion: a fast growing scale of bilateral trade is identified between China and South Korean despite a successive but slight decrease in the trade intensity and complementarity between the two countries,and the bilateral trade potentials show a progressive increase. Once the China-Japan-South Korean Free Trade Agreement makes progress,there will be even greater potentials to expand trade ties between the two countries.
出处
《世界经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第1期81-90,128,共10页
World Economy Studies