摘要
文章首先构建了纵向测量法RTA深度指标,用横向测量法和纵向测量法测算了G20(43个国家)在2016年前签订的153个RTA的深度,并分析了其特点和RTA深度变化趋势;其次分析了RTA深度及单项条款深度与双边增加值贸易之间的关系,并用工具变量法进行了稳健性检验。检验结果显示:RTA的签订、缩短关税削减时间表、提高争端解决机制、服务贸易、电子商务条款的规范性和深度可以显著促进所有成员价值链贸易的出口; RTA深度的提高、知识产权保护、投资和竞争政策条款深度的提高对不同样本国家(地区)间贸易的作用表现出异质性和不对称性,RTA深度的提高、知识产权保护、竞争政策条款深度的提高对发达-发展中成员、发达成员间的贸易有促进作用,对发展中-发达成员、发展中成员间的贸易有抑制作用;投资条款深度的提高会抑制发达成员间的贸易。
This paper first constructs a RTA vertical depth index by core provisions,calculates the depth of 153RTAs signed by G20 (43countries),and then analyzes its characteristics and change of trend.Secondly,it analyzes the relationship between the depth of RTA ,the single provision and the bilateral value added trade.The results show that:Signing a regional trade agreement, shortens the tariff reduction timetable,improves the dispute settlement mechanism,so the service and e-business provision can significantly promote the export volumes of all members.The enhancement of RTA depth in intellectual property protection,investment and competition policy has shown heterogeneous and asymmetric influences on different country (region)pairs.The improvement of RTA depth index in intellectual property protection,and competition policy terms can promote the trade between the developed-developing member pairs and the developed member pairs,while they have inhibitory effect on other pairs.The increase in the depth of investment clause is detrimental to the trade between the developed members.
作者
李艳秀
毛艳华
Li Yanxiu;Mao Yanhua
出处
《世界经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第12期25-36,132,共13页
World Economy Studies
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金项目“构建服务‘一带一路’价值链重构与升级的自由贸易区网络对策研究”(项目编号:18wkpy60)
国家自然科学基金重点项目"构建服务’一带一路’的粤港澳区域联动机制及发展研究"(项目编号:U1601218)
