摘要
经济增长迟缓、快速老龄化使公共养老金支出总额和比重不断上升,给政府造成沉重的财政压力,进而带来政府债务风险。日本和欧美国家老龄化成本分担方式和老龄化程度不同,因而老龄化成本不仅存在着国别差异,也存在着结构性差异和阶段性差异,同时对各国公共财政赤字和政府债务的影响也有所不同。有鉴于此,我国应适时考虑调整人口政策,加强社会养老保障制度顶层设计,建立多元化的老年收入分担体系,加快做实个人账户步伐,并构建社会保障制度改革的国民协商机制。
The sluggish economic growth and the rapid population aging have given rise to a surge of both the total amount and the proportion of Japanese public pension expenditures. This adds to the fiscal burden and therefore the risks of public debt default. There are differences between Japan and other industrialized coun- tries in terms of the degree of population aging and the system of cost - sharing. Consequently the costs of pop- ulation aging vary across the countries, the economic structures, as well as the development stages. Moreover, their effects on budgetary deficits and public debts are also heterogeneous for different countries. We argue that China should 1 ) reconsider its population policies ; 2) specify the top - level design of the social pension sys- tem ; 3 ) diversify the income sources of the elderly ; 4 ) create personal accounts ; and 5 ) establish a national consultation mechanism for the reforms in the social security system.
出处
《现代日本经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第5期55-64,共10页
Contemporary Economy OF Japan
基金
2009年度浙江省哲学社会科学规划重点课题"浙江城乡一体社会保障体系建设研究"(09CGYD010Z)
贵州省科技厅
贵州财经学院软科学联合基金研究项目"民族地区新型农村社会养老保险制度研究"(黔科合体R字[2010]LKC2016号)
贵州省教育厅项目"贵州初次收入分配中劳动者报酬比重研究"(11JD047)阶段性研究成果
作者简介
张士斌(1976-),男,湖北荆门人,贵州财经大学工商管理学院教授,会计学院副院长,中国社会科学院博士后。
杨黎源(1955-),男,浙江宁波人,中共宁波市委党校研究员。
张天龙(1972-),男,云南昆明人,云南大学经济学院博士研究生。