摘要
2006年中国超过美国成为最大的二氧化碳排放国。来自国际社会的减排压力越来越大。金融危机背景下贸易保护主义抬头,限制碳排放正在成为发达国家新的"绿色壁垒",成为"中国威胁论"的新内容。本文采用投入产出和结构分解分析的方法,测算了2008年1月-2009年5月我国出口碳排放的变化。结果表明:金融危机有节能减排效用,规模效应促使中国出口碳排放显著降低,结构效应对出口碳也有改善作用。敏感性分析也表明金融危机有利于我国出口商品结构向低碳转型。文章针对我国出口贸易向低碳经济转型提出了一些对策建议。
In 2006, China is at the top of the list of CO2 emission countries. China faces increasing international pressure to curb its CO2 emissions. In the context of global financial crisis, trade protectionism is becoming popular. The limitation of carbon emissions has been turned into the green barriers of developed countries and becomes a new content of the ＂China threat＂ theory. Based on input-output approach and structural decomposition analysis, the paper studies the change of carbon emissions of China＇s export goods from January of 2008 to May of 2009. Results show that financial crisis is helpful to energy saving and emission reduction. Scale effects obviously reduce the CO2 emission in the production of export goods and so do the structure effects, sensitivity analysis also states that financial crisis is beneficial to change the structure of China＇s export goods into the low-carbon mode. It also provides some suggestion about the transition of China＇s exports trade to the low-carbon mode.
出处
《上海财经大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第1期82-89,共8页
Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
关键词
金融危机
低碳经济
投入产出法
结构分解分析
financial crisis
low- carbon economy
input- output approach （IOA）
structural decomposition analysis （SDA）
作者简介
闫云凤（1977-），女，山东淄博人，华东师范大学商学院博士生；
杨来科（1968-），男，陕西西安人，华东师范大学国际金融与风险管理中心，金融与统计学院教授，博士生导师。
