摘要
运用联合国法和消费水平法分别预测出江苏省不同水平年城镇化水平,分析确定了江苏省不同水平年设区城市人口的数量;分别用分项预测法和城市人均综合用水定额法预测不同水平年城市用水量,两者结果非常接近,可采用人均综合用水量预测结果作为不同水平年的城市用水量,用分项预测成果分析各类用水的比重;针对城市用水预测结果,提出了保障江苏省设区城市用水的开源节流建议.
The level of urbanization of Jiangsu Province for different standard years was predicted by use of the United Nations method and the consumption level method, and the urban population in this area was analyzed and determined. Then the sub-item prediction method and the synthetic per capita water consumption quota method were employed to predict the urban water consumption of different standard years, and the results were much close to each other. As a result, the synthetic per capita water consumption quota method could be used for prediction of urban water consumption for different standard years, while the sub-item prediction method could be used for analysis of ratios of different kinds of water consumption. Finally, some suggestions for urban water saving and exploitation in this area were made according to the prediction of urban water consumption.
出处
《河海大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2007年第6期727-730,共4页
Journal of Hohai University(Natural Sciences)
基金
江苏省水利厅重点资助项目(GHB-XY-2001-07)
关键词
城市用水
城镇化水平
预测模型
江苏省
urban water consumption
level of urbanization
prediction model
Jiangsu Province
作者简介
俞双恩（1961-），男，安徽安庆人，教授，硕士，主要从事水土资源高效利用研究
