摘要
新增长理论认为,技术进步是经济长期增长的决定性因素;作为技术知识载体的国际贸易对于发展中国家具有技术进步效应。文章通过建立数量经济模型、利用计量经济软件Eviews,确定有形贸易与我国沿海区域经济发展以及技术进步间的数量关系:二者高度相关,进口贸易每增加1%,区域技术进步率提高2 7678个百分点;出口贸易每增加1%,技术进步率提高4 2433个百分点;出口贸易的技术进步效应远大于进口贸易。这对于像我们这样自主研发能力较差的发展中国家而言,在保持经济增长的长期性、缩小区域发展差距、实现区域经济协调发展,制定对外开放的政策与措施等方面都具有重要的现实意义。
The New Growth theory holds that technology advancement determines the economic growth in the long-term, and international trade, being the carrier of technology, has the effect of technology advancement on developing countries. Employing the soft-ware Eviews, this paper intends to build the quantitative economic model to set the quantitative relation between visible trade and the technology advancement in the economic development of coastal regions of China, and the result shows that the two are highly relevant: 1% of increase of import trade can lead to 2.7678% increase of technology advancement; while 1% increase of export trade will lead to 42433% increase of technology advancement; the technology advancement effect of export trade should be much greater than that of import trade. It is of great significance for China as a developing country whose independent research and development power is weak to keep the long economic growth, to shorten the distance of regional development and to realize the coordinated development of regional economy.
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2004年第11期106-113,共8页
Journal of Finance and Economics
关键词
有形贸易
技术进步
经济增长
区域协调发展
visible trade
technology advancement
economic growth
regional coordinated development
