摘要
基于复杂系统协同进化理论,提出区域水-能源-粮食复杂系统协同评估框架,从系统和变量维度对西北地区水资源、能源和粮食系统的协同关系进行评估。结果表明:1)水资源、能源和粮食系统的有序度和水-能源-粮食系统的整体协同度均呈现上升趋势,系统的适应性逐渐增强。2)水资源-能源关系以“偏利水资源系统”的弱协同为主,水资源-粮食关系以“偏利粮食系统”弱协同为主,能源-粮食关系主要分为“互利”强协同和“抑制”不协同。3)系统变量的关联关系以正向“协同”为主,表征用水情况的序参量是影响系统协同进化的核心变量。
Based on the complex systems theory,we developed a framework for assessment of the synergy of local water-energy-food complex system.The synergy of the water-energy-food nexus in Northwest China was evaluated from the system and variable dimensions.The results indicate that:1)The order degrees and overall synergy degrees of these sub-systems of water,energy,and food show an upward trend,it means that the adaptability of the local water-energy-food system is gradually enhanced.2)The coordination between the sub-systems is dominated by weak-synergy,while water-energy couple mainly benefits the sub-system of water,water-food couple mainly benefits the sub-system of food,while the energy-food relationship is mainly divided in to two types:mutually beneficial strong synergy,and inhibition and non-synergy.3)There are significant correlations among the order-parameters within the water-energy-food complex system,and the order-parameter water consumption in sub-system of water is the core variable for the co-evolution of the total system.
作者
支彦玲
王慧敏
张帆
汪志强
朱外明
ZHI Yanling;WANG Huimin;ZHANG Fan;WANG Zhiqiang;ZHU Waiming(Institute of Management Science,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098;State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resourcesand Hydraulic Engineering,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098;School of Management,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China)
出处
《干旱区资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第10期76-85,共10页
Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment
基金
国家自然科学基金国际(地区)合作与交流项目(51861125101)
河海大学中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2018B710X14)
江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX18_0512)
国家社会科学基金项目(20BGL191)资助
关键词
水-能源-粮食
复杂系统
协同进化
西北地区
water-energy-food nexus
complex systems
co-evolution
the Northwest China
作者简介
支彦玲(1987-),女,汉族,山西大同人,博士研究生,主要从事水资源资源与环境管理研究。E-mail:zhiyanlinghhu@outlook.com;通讯作者:王慧敏(1963-),女,汉族,山西阳泉人,长江学者特聘教授,博士生导师,主要从事复杂系统与公共资源管理。E-mail:hmwang@hhu.edu.cn.
