摘要
空格非全角以低碳城市试点的设立作为准自然实验,基于2003~2016年中国223个地级市数据讨论了低碳城市政策对产业结构的作用机制。结果显示,①低碳城市政策的实行会显著抑制第二产业、促进第三产业的发展,以此有效促进了产业结构升级。同时,这一政策具有明确的正向空间溢出效应。②在考虑到环保约谈、中国制造2025以及新能源试点等其它相关政策影响后,虽然低碳城市政策对产业结构的影响有所减弱,但其正向影响依然十分显著。③低碳城市政策会通过经济绩效考核、技术创新、绿色消费观念等中介变量影响产业结构水平。然而政策所带来的产业升级效应是建立在一定的市场基础之上的,市场力量是此政策发挥作用的前提。
Based on the data of 223 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to2016,this paper discusses the mechanism of the effect of low-carbon city policies on industrial structure,taking the establishment of low-carbon city pilot as a quasinatural experiment.The results show that①The implementation of low-carbon city policy will significantly inhibit the secondary industry and promote the development of the tertiary industry,thus effectively promoting the upgrading of industrial structure.At the same time,this policy has a definite positive spatial spillover effect.②After taking into account the impact of other relevant policies,such as environmental interviews,made in China 2025 and new energy pilot,although the impact of low-carbon city policies on industrial structure is somewhat weakened,its positive impact is still very significant.③Low-carbon city policies will influence the level of industrial structure through intermediary variables such as economic performance appraisal,technological innovation and green consumption concept.However,the industrial upgrading effect brought by the policy is built on a certain market basis,and market forces are the prerequisite for the policy to play its role.
作者
逯进
刘璐
王晓飞
Jin Lu;Lu Liu;Xiaofei Wang
出处
《产业经济评论（山东）》
2020年第1期81-107,共27页
Review of Industrial Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“人口结构转变对我国经济发展影响的时空演化机制研究”(18BJL117)资助
关键词
低碳城市政策
产业结构优化
准自然实验
Low-Carbon City Policy
Industrial Structure Optimization
Quasi-Natural Experiment
作者简介
逯进:青岛大学经济学院,地址:青岛市崂山区松岭路49号,邮编262200,Email:lujin218@163.com;刘璐:中山大学管理学院,地址:广州市海珠区中大东北区386号,邮编510275,Email:li ulu9310@126.com;通信作者:王晓飞:青岛大学经济学院,地址:青岛市崂山区松岭路49号,邮编262200,Email:wangxiaofeifei5@126.com。
