摘要
新冠疫情后,美国GDP的增长明显背离了其实体经济的发展状况,是依靠金融和房地产等虚拟经济的推动。有鉴于此,本文基于马克思政治经济学的视角,利用主要国家的数据考察了虚拟经济创造GDP的逻辑、路径和隐患,研究发现:虚拟经济有着不同于实体经济的财富创造机制,虚拟经济创造GDP的路径包括为实体经济服务创造GDP和自我循环创造GDP。前者属于真实经济价值,后者属于借贷性、投机性收益,蕴含着引爆金融危机的隐患。对此,本文提出要坚定不移做大做强实体经济,防止经济脱实向虚,同时应改良GDP核算方法,使之更为客观地反映真实的经济增长。
After the outbreak of COVID-19,the growth of GDP in US has clearly deviated from the development of its real economy,and instead relied on the promotion of virtual economies such as finance and real estate.In view of this,based on the perspective of Marx’s political economy,this article uses data from major countries to investigate the logic,path and hidden dangers of the virtual economy to create GDP.The research finds that:the virtual economy has a wealth creation mechanism that is different from the real economy.The path of virtual economy to create GDP includes the creation of GDP for real economy services and self-circulation creation of GDP.The former belongs to real economic value,and the latter belongs to borrowing and speculative income,which contains the hidden danger of detonating financial crisis.In this regard,this article proposes to unswervingly expand and strengthen the real economy to prevent the economy from deviating from reality to virtual reality.At the same time,the GDP accounting method should be improved to make it more objectively reflect real economic growth.
作者
刘晓欣
熊丽
Liu Xiao-xin;Xiong Li
出处
《经济学家》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第9期31-40,共10页
Economist
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“深度开放下外部金融冲击应急系统研究”(20ZDA101)
作者简介
通讯作者:刘晓欣,南开大学经济学院、南开大学虚拟经济与管理研究中心教授、博士生导师;熊丽,南开大学经济学院博士研究生。
