摘要
当前中国能源发展正处于深化转型阶段,可再生能源对煤炭增量替代效应逐步显现,但煤炭在中国经济发展中的战略地位依旧不可动摇。基于文献调研和对比分析法,梳理中国煤炭产业的发展现状,深入分析中长期中国煤炭需求与面临的现实挑战,研判未来中国煤炭定位及发展路径,为制定能源尤其是煤炭战略规划提供参考依据。
At present,China’s energy development is in a stage of deepening transformation,and the incremental substitution effect of renewable energy on coal is gradually showing,but the strategic position of coal in China’s economic development remains unshakable.Based on literature research and comparative analysis,the development status of China’s coal industry was combed,a in-depth analysis of the medium and long-term China’s coal demand and real challenges was conducted,and China’s coal positioning and development path in the future were judged,Which providing a reference for formulating energy,especially coal strategic planning.
作者
姜大霖
程浩
Jiang Dalin;Cheng Hao(Shenhua Institute of Science and Technology Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 102211,China;China Energy Electrical Power Marketing Center Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100011,China)
出处
《煤炭经济研究》
2020年第7期16-21,共6页
Coal Economic Research
基金
国家能源投资集团有限责任公司科技创新2030—“煤炭清洁高效利用”重大项目先导项目(GJNY2030XDXM-19-20.1)
关键词
能源转型
煤炭消费
需求预测
驱动因素
发展路径
energy transition
coal consumption
demand forecast
driving factors
development path
作者简介
姜大霖(1981—),男,辽宁瓦房店人,博士,高级经济师,《煤炭经济研究》青年专家委员会委员,主要研究方向为碳捕集利用与封存(CCUS)技术经济与政策、气候变化与能源低碳转型、碳市场与企业碳资产管理、煤基能源可持续发展路径等。E-mail:jiangdalin_ch@163.com
