摘要
2019年全球一次能源消费138.2×10~8t油当量,同比增长1.9%,近5年平均增速1.7%,近10年平均增速2.0%。为了更好地展示世界能源清洁化消费趋势,以《中石油经研院能源数据统计》的数据为基础,分析了近10年全球及中国能源消费结构变化,世界能源消费与经济发展的关系,石油市场和页岩革命之间的关系。研究发现,全球能源结构将持续呈现多元化、清洁化和低碳化发展趋势,全球能源消费总量将持续增长,化石能源依然保持主体地位,中短期内石油市场难以扭转供应过剩和持续低油价的走势,绿色高效的天然气和可再生能源将持续高速发展。
Global primary energy consumption grew at a rate of 1.9%,and the total number was 13.82 billion toe in 2019.Its 5-year average growth rate is 1.7%and 10-year average rate is 2.0%.In order to show the trend of clean energy consumption in the world,this paper analyzed the global and China energy consumption and composition,the relationship between energy consumption and economic development,and the relationship between oil market and shale oil.All opinions in this paper based on the data from CNPC/ETRI Energy Statistical Review.Result shows that the global energy consumption composition will continue to be diversified,clean and low-carbon trends.Global energy consumption will continue to grow,of which fossil energy will still maintain its dominant position,oil market will keep oversupply and"lower for longer"price in a medium term,and natural gas and renewable energy will continue to grow rapidly.
作者
梁玲
孙静
岳脉健
耿惠丽
LIANG Ling;SUN Jing;YUE Maijian;GENG Huili(CNPC Economics and Technology Research Institute,Beijing 100724,China;Foreign Cooperation Administration Department of Petrochina,Beijing 100007,China)
出处
《世界石油工业》
2020年第3期41-47,共7页
World Petroleum Industry
作者简介
第一作者:梁玲(1984-),女,毕业于燕山大学经济管理专业,主要从事世界及中国能源数据统计工作。
