摘要
研究目标:"一带一路"沿线国家贸易便利化水平对中国工业制成品出口贸易的空间效应的影响。研究方法:采用主成分分析模型、空间计量经济学模型等进行实证研究。研究发现:"一带一路"沿线各国家的贸易便利化水平差异性比较明显,其中欧洲国家的贸易便利化水平明显高于亚洲国家的贸易便利化水平,大多数国家的贸易便利化水平处于中等及中等偏下的水平,中国的贸易便利化水平不断上升,在"一带一路"国家中处于第13位;贸易便利化对中国工业制成品出口贸易存在空间依赖性、空间溢出性与空间互补性。研究创新:实证方法上将主成分分析方法与空间计量经济学相互结合;研究贸易便利化对"一带一路"国家工业制成品出口贸易的空间效应影响时采用制度距离进行测度;从内生性、权重矩阵、遗漏变量等不同的角度进行了实证模型的稳健性检验。研究价值:扩展了中国工业制成品的发展方向与出口领域,为中国进一步打开"一带一路"沿线国家市场,提升中国整体工业制成品贸易的出口发展水平,增强中国工业制成品的国际竞争力,充分挖掘中国对"一带一路"沿线国家工业制成品贸易的出口潜力提供政策参考。
Research Objectives:The impact of the level of trade facilitation of countries along the"The Belt and Road"on the spatial effect of China’s industrial manufactured goods export trade.Research Methods:Empirical research is carried out using principal component analysis model and spatial econometric model.Research Findings:The differences in the level of trade facilitation of the countries along the"The Belt and Road"are obvious.Among them,the level of trade facilitation of European countries is significantly higher than that of Asian countries,and the level of trade facilitation of most countries is in the middle and lower levels.China’s trade facilitation level continues to rise,ranking 13 th among the"The Belt and Road"countries.Trade facilitation has spatial dependence,spatial spillover,and spatial complementarity on China’s industrial exports.Research Innovations:In the empirical method,the principal component analysis method and spatial econometrics are combined with each other.When studying the spatial effect of trade facilitation on the export trade of industrial products in the"The Belt and Road"countries,the institutional distance is adopted.The robustness of the empirical model was tested from different perspectives such as missing variables,the endogenity and weight matrix.Research Value:This paper helps to provide policy reference for expanding the development direction and export fields of China’s industrial manufactured products,further opening up the country’s markets along the"The Belt and Road"route,improving China’s overall export development level of industrial manufactured products,enhancing the international competitiveness of China’s industrial manufactured products,and fully tapping the export potential of China’s industrial products trade in countries along the"The Belt and Road".
作者
程云洁
董程慧
Cheng Yunjie;Dong Chenghui(School of Economics,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics;School of Economics,Jinan University)
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2021年第2期98-115,共18页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
国家社科基金项目“中国与巴基斯坦互联互通建设问题”(14BGJ022)
教育部国别和区域研究项目“哈萨克斯坦光明之路与中哈产能合作的行业选择及对策研究”(19GBQY073)
新疆普通高校人文社科重点研究基地项目“中巴经济走廊建设中的风险防范研究”(XJEDU2017R1020)
新疆财经大学创新团队项目“中巴经济走廊促进新疆经济发展研究”(2017XTD002)的资助
关键词
“一带一路”倡议
贸易便利化
工业制成品
出口贸易
空间效应
"The Belt and Road"Initiative
Trade Facilitation
Manufactured Goods
Export Trade
Spatial Effect
