摘要
近年来环保政策强力实施,空气质量治理力度加大,由此清洁能源的需求量增加,天然气消耗量也在逐年大幅增加.对天然气等清洁能源消耗量进行预测,可以为政府、企业调配能源提供科学依据.本文利用北京市2013年-2017年天然气消费量数据,使用灰色分数阶FGM(1,1)模型,对北京市天然气消耗量进行预测,根据预测结果为政府、企业决策提供参考.
In recent years,with the vigorous implementation of environmental protection policies,air quality control has been intensified.With the increasing demand for clean energy,the consumption of natural gas is also increasing year by year.Forecasting the consumption of natural gas can provide a scientific basis for the government and enterprises to allocate energy.This paper uses the data of natural gas consumption in Beijing from 2013 to 2017.Grey fractional FGM(1,1)model is used to predict the natural gas consumption in Beijing.According to the predicted results,it can provide a reference for the government and enterprises to make decisions.
作者
仝延增
陈海俊
张晓蒙
吴利丰
TONG Yan-zeng;CHEN Hai-jun;ZHANG Xiao-meng;WU Li-feng(Department of Mathematics and Physics,Handan College,Handan 056005,China;Department of Mathematics and Information,China West Normal University,Nanchong 637002,China;School of Management Engineering and Business,Hebei University of Engineering,Handan 056005,China)
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
北大核心
2020年第3期79-83,共5页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基金
邯郸学院校级项目(16218)
国家自然科学基金(71871084).
