The power transformer is the key equipment of transforming voltage and exchanging power in the power system.It's safe and reliable operation directly influences the safe level of the power system.To study the risk...The power transformer is the key equipment of transforming voltage and exchanging power in the power system.It's safe and reliable operation directly influences the safe level of the power system.To study the risk assessment of power transformer which is very significant to improve the reliability of the power system,a fuzzy comprehensive risk assessment model of power transformer based on Borda number theory is proposed in this paper.At first,the fault types and risk factors of the power transformer are analyzed.Secondly,the basic framework of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is applied to quantify the risk factors.And then,Borda number theory is employed to analyze influence degree and occurrence probability of power transformer.At last,the various risk factors impact index and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation index of power transformer can be easily obtained.Applying this model,the relative importance degree of the risk factors can be horizontally compared according to the numerical index,the engineering staff can directly get the parameters of the transformer risk level and get a good description of the visual expression through using 5 score and similar visual language.展开更多
In this paper,a new multimedia data model,namely object-relation hypermedia data model(O-RHDM)which is an advanced and effective multimedia data model is proposed and designed based on the extension and integration of...In this paper,a new multimedia data model,namely object-relation hypermedia data model(O-RHDM)which is an advanced and effective multimedia data model is proposed and designed based on the extension and integration of non first normal form(NF2)multimedia data model.Its principle,mathematical description,algebra operation,organization method and store model are also discussed.And its specific application example,in the multimedia spatial data management is given combining with the Hainan multimedia touring information system.展开更多
为分析影响低空出行意愿的主要影响因素和影响路径,基于出行意愿模型及价值-风险分析构建了结构方程模型,量化出行偏好、出行特征、感知价值、感知风险对低空出行意愿的相互作用机理,利用未加权最小二乘法求解路径系数,并开展了感知价...为分析影响低空出行意愿的主要影响因素和影响路径,基于出行意愿模型及价值-风险分析构建了结构方程模型,量化出行偏好、出行特征、感知价值、感知风险对低空出行意愿的相互作用机理,利用未加权最小二乘法求解路径系数,并开展了感知价值、感知风险等对出行偏好的中介效应分析,以及性别、年龄等出行者个体信息的多群组模型不变性分析,最后利用模糊集定性比较分析(fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis,fsQCA)方法分析了出行意愿的前因变量构成组态。结果表明:结构模型卡方自由度比、RMSEA(root mean square error of approximation)值、CFI(comparative fit index)值分别为3.803、0.063、0.938,通过了模型检验;感知价值(0.38)是直接影响出行意愿的最重要因素,出行特征(0.08)对出行意愿有正向直接影响,感知风险(-0.22)有负向直接影响,但出行偏好对出行意愿无显著影响;出行偏好对出行意愿呈现负效应,出行特征、感知价值对出行偏好产生了遮掩效应,感知风险则对其产生了中介效应;出行者个体信息中税前年收入对模型起调节作用,随着出行距离的增加,高收入群体较低收入群体使用低空飞行器意愿更大,同时高收入群体对低空飞行器在技术成熟度、事故严重程度等感知风险方面更加敏感;fsQCA分析表明,有3种组态可以形成出行意愿,其中组态3(出行特征、感知价值型)样本覆盖率最高,能解释48.9%的样本案例数量,当出行者属于高峰时段必要出行,且对低空出行舒适度、私密性等存在正面认知时,会产生低空出行倾向。研究结论可为低空飞行器推广促进和政策制定提供数据支撑。展开更多
基金Project Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China （50425722）, Natural Science Foundation of CQ CSTC （Chongqing Science and Technology Commission） （2008BA3026）.
文摘The power transformer is the key equipment of transforming voltage and exchanging power in the power system.It's safe and reliable operation directly influences the safe level of the power system.To study the risk assessment of power transformer which is very significant to improve the reliability of the power system,a fuzzy comprehensive risk assessment model of power transformer based on Borda number theory is proposed in this paper.At first,the fault types and risk factors of the power transformer are analyzed.Secondly,the basic framework of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is applied to quantify the risk factors.And then,Borda number theory is employed to analyze influence degree and occurrence probability of power transformer.At last,the various risk factors impact index and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation index of power transformer can be easily obtained.Applying this model,the relative importance degree of the risk factors can be horizontally compared according to the numerical index,the engineering staff can directly get the parameters of the transformer risk level and get a good description of the visual expression through using 5 score and similar visual language.
文摘In this paper,a new multimedia data model,namely object-relation hypermedia data model(O-RHDM)which is an advanced and effective multimedia data model is proposed and designed based on the extension and integration of non first normal form(NF2)multimedia data model.Its principle,mathematical description,algebra operation,organization method and store model are also discussed.And its specific application example,in the multimedia spatial data management is given combining with the Hainan multimedia touring information system.
文摘为分析影响低空出行意愿的主要影响因素和影响路径,基于出行意愿模型及价值-风险分析构建了结构方程模型,量化出行偏好、出行特征、感知价值、感知风险对低空出行意愿的相互作用机理,利用未加权最小二乘法求解路径系数,并开展了感知价值、感知风险等对出行偏好的中介效应分析,以及性别、年龄等出行者个体信息的多群组模型不变性分析,最后利用模糊集定性比较分析(fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis,fsQCA)方法分析了出行意愿的前因变量构成组态。结果表明:结构模型卡方自由度比、RMSEA(root mean square error of approximation)值、CFI(comparative fit index)值分别为3.803、0.063、0.938,通过了模型检验;感知价值(0.38)是直接影响出行意愿的最重要因素,出行特征(0.08)对出行意愿有正向直接影响,感知风险(-0.22)有负向直接影响,但出行偏好对出行意愿无显著影响;出行偏好对出行意愿呈现负效应,出行特征、感知价值对出行偏好产生了遮掩效应,感知风险则对其产生了中介效应;出行者个体信息中税前年收入对模型起调节作用,随着出行距离的增加,高收入群体较低收入群体使用低空飞行器意愿更大,同时高收入群体对低空飞行器在技术成熟度、事故严重程度等感知风险方面更加敏感;fsQCA分析表明,有3种组态可以形成出行意愿,其中组态3(出行特征、感知价值型)样本覆盖率最高,能解释48.9%的样本案例数量,当出行者属于高峰时段必要出行,且对低空出行舒适度、私密性等存在正面认知时,会产生低空出行倾向。研究结论可为低空飞行器推广促进和政策制定提供数据支撑。
文摘目的洪水是影响尾矿库安全的重要因素,明晰洪水对尾矿库的风险传导路径有利于帮助识别关键风险因素,优化防控措施。方法结合文献计量法和专家决策筛选出尾矿库洪水风险的重要影响指标,利用解释结构模型(interpretative structural modeling,ISM)对指标层次进行划分,最后基于事故树分析(fault tree analysis,FTA)解析灾害的演化路径,并提出相应预防措施。结果结果表明:(1)基于文献计量法总共筛选出24个尾矿库洪水风险影响因素,结合平均权重值与专家经验确定10个相对重要的尾矿库洪水风险影响因素;(2)基于ISM计算得出10个影响因素和洪水风险间的相互影响关系,确定尾矿库洪水灾害的直接、间接和最根本影响因素;(3)结合ISM和事故案例,建立尾矿库洪水灾害事故树,通过布尔代数运算得出18种致灾路径和9种预防事故的路径;(4)分析事故树的结构重要度后发现对尾矿库洪水风险影响最大的事件是排洪能力不足、洪峰流量大和初始浸润线埋深浅。结论提出的文献计量法、ISM与FTA相结合的方法不仅实现了客观指标筛选与系统建模的融合,而且为尾矿库防洪实现从“被动应对”向“主动阻断”的转变提供了理论支撑。
