Purpose:The purpose of this study is to develop and compare model choice strategies in context of logistic regression.Model choice means the choice of the covariates to be included in the model.Design/methodology/appr...Purpose:The purpose of this study is to develop and compare model choice strategies in context of logistic regression.Model choice means the choice of the covariates to be included in the model.Design/methodology/approach:The study is based on Monte Carlo simulations.The methods are compared in terms of three measures of accuracy:specificity and two kinds of sensitivity.A loss function combining sensitivity and specificity is introduced and used for a final comparison.Findings:The choice of method depends on how much the users emphasize sensitivity against specificity.It also depends on the sample size.For a typical logistic regression setting with a moderate sample size and a small to moderate effect size,either BIC,BICc or Lasso seems to be optimal.Research limitations:Numerical simulations cannot cover the whole range of data-generating processes occurring with real-world data.Thus,more simulations are needed.Practical implications:Researchers can refer to these results if they believe that their data-generating process is somewhat similar to some of the scenarios presented in this paper.Alternatively,they could run their own simulations and calculate the loss function.Originality/value:This is a systematic comparison of model choice algorithms and heuristics in context of logistic regression.The distinction between two types of sensitivity and a comparison based on a loss function are methodological novelties.展开更多
The picking efficiency of seismic first breaks(FBs)has been greatly accelerated by deep learning(DL)technology.However,the picking accuracy and efficiency of DL methods still face huge challenges in low signal-to-nois...The picking efficiency of seismic first breaks(FBs)has been greatly accelerated by deep learning(DL)technology.However,the picking accuracy and efficiency of DL methods still face huge challenges in low signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)situations.To address this issue,we propose a regression approach to pick FBs based on bidirectional long short-term memory(Bi LSTM)neural network by learning the implicit Eikonal equation of 3D inhomogeneous media with rugged topography in the target region.We employ a regressive model that represents the relationships among the elevation of shots,offset and the elevation of receivers with their seismic traveltime to predict the unknown FBs,from common-shot gathers with sparsely distributed traces.Different from image segmentation methods which automatically extract image features and classify FBs from seismic data,the proposed method can learn the inner relationship between field geometry and FBs.In addition,the predicted results by the regressive model are continuous values of FBs rather than the discrete ones of the binary distribution.The picking results of synthetic data shows that the proposed method has low dependence on label data,and can obtain reliable and similar predicted results using two types of label data with large differences.The picking results of9380 shots for 3D seismic data generated by vibroseis indicate that the proposed method can still accurately predict FBs in low SNR data.The subsequent stacked profiles further illustrate the reliability and effectiveness of the proposed method.The results of model data and field seismic data demonstrate that the proposed regression method is a robust first-break picker with high potential for field application.展开更多
The extended kernel ridge regression(EKRR)method with odd-even effects was adopted to improve the description of the nuclear charge radius using five commonly used nuclear models.These are:(i)the isospin-dependent A^(...The extended kernel ridge regression(EKRR)method with odd-even effects was adopted to improve the description of the nuclear charge radius using five commonly used nuclear models.These are:(i)the isospin-dependent A^(1∕3) formula,(ii)relativistic continuum Hartree-Bogoliubov(RCHB)theory,(iii)Hartree-Fock-Bogoliubov(HFB)model HFB25,(iv)the Weizsacker-Skyrme(WS)model WS*,and(v)HFB25*model.In the last two models,the charge radii were calculated using a five-parameter formula with the nuclear shell corrections and deformations obtained from the WS and HFB25 models,respectively.For each model,the resultant root-mean-square deviation for the 1014 nuclei with proton number Z≥8 can be significantly reduced to 0.009-0.013 fm after considering the modification with the EKRR method.The best among them was the RCHB model,with a root-mean-square deviation of 0.0092 fm.The extrapolation abilities of the KRR and EKRR methods for the neutron-rich region were examined,and it was found that after considering the odd-even effects,the extrapolation power was improved compared with that of the original KRR method.The strong odd-even staggering of nuclear charge radii of Ca and Cu isotopes and the abrupt kinks across the neutron N=126 and 82 shell closures were also calculated and could be reproduced quite well by calculations using the EKRR method.展开更多
本文为确定等跨连续梁桥的冲击系数,根据结构静力分析,求取边跨及中跨跨中挠度静力响应;基于结构动力学原理,分别建立车辆与桥梁的动力方程,采用五轴十三自由度平面车辆模型,三跨连续梁桥模型,建立车桥耦合振动方程,采用ANSYS和MATLAB...本文为确定等跨连续梁桥的冲击系数,根据结构静力分析,求取边跨及中跨跨中挠度静力响应;基于结构动力学原理,分别建立车辆与桥梁的动力方程,采用五轴十三自由度平面车辆模型,三跨连续梁桥模型,建立车桥耦合振动方程,采用ANSYS和MATLAB软件编译等跨连续梁桥车桥耦合分析模块,迭代求解边跨及中跨跨中挠度动力响应;再依据冲击系数计算公式求出边跨及中跨冲击系数,确定桥面不平整度、速度、基频和载重这4个因素为影响因素,利用SPSS (statistical package for the social sciences)数值分析软件进行逐步回归,得到了各参数对冲击系数的显著程度,给出等跨连续梁桥挠度冲击系数计算公式。结果表明:桥面不平整度与挠度冲击系数的相关性较好,而速度、基频和载重对挠度冲击系数的线性相关较为不显著;回归分析结果显示,桥面不平整度与冲击系数之间的标准化相关系数Beta达到0.908,表明桥面不平整度对连续梁桥的冲击系数具有重要影响。然而,现行规范未考虑到这一因素,因此建议在后续规范修订中纳入桥面不平整度的影响。展开更多
针对以往船舶备件需求预测精度不高,无法满足船舶综合保障的实际问题,文章建立一种基于改进红狐优化算法(improved red fox optimization,IRFO)的支持向量机回归(support vector regression,SVR)的船舶备件预测模型。为进一步提高红狐...针对以往船舶备件需求预测精度不高,无法满足船舶综合保障的实际问题,文章建立一种基于改进红狐优化算法(improved red fox optimization,IRFO)的支持向量机回归(support vector regression,SVR)的船舶备件预测模型。为进一步提高红狐优化算法(red fox optimization,RFO)的寻优精度,重构其全局搜索公式,并融合精英反向学习策略。采用基准测试函数对IRFO算法进行仿真实验,实验表明,IRFO算法比RFO算法、粒子群算法、灰狼优化算法寻优能力更强,综合性能更优。基于船舶备件历史数据,建立IRFO-SVR船舶备件预测模型,通过对比其他模型的预测结果,表明IRFO-SVR的预测效果更佳。展开更多
文摘Purpose:The purpose of this study is to develop and compare model choice strategies in context of logistic regression.Model choice means the choice of the covariates to be included in the model.Design/methodology/approach:The study is based on Monte Carlo simulations.The methods are compared in terms of three measures of accuracy:specificity and two kinds of sensitivity.A loss function combining sensitivity and specificity is introduced and used for a final comparison.Findings:The choice of method depends on how much the users emphasize sensitivity against specificity.It also depends on the sample size.For a typical logistic regression setting with a moderate sample size and a small to moderate effect size,either BIC,BICc or Lasso seems to be optimal.Research limitations:Numerical simulations cannot cover the whole range of data-generating processes occurring with real-world data.Thus,more simulations are needed.Practical implications:Researchers can refer to these results if they believe that their data-generating process is somewhat similar to some of the scenarios presented in this paper.Alternatively,they could run their own simulations and calculate the loss function.Originality/value:This is a systematic comparison of model choice algorithms and heuristics in context of logistic regression.The distinction between two types of sensitivity and a comparison based on a loss function are methodological novelties.
基金financially supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2018YFA0702504)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42174152)+1 种基金the Strategic Cooperation Technology Projects of China National Petroleum Corporation(CNPC)and China University of Petroleum-Beijing(CUPB)(ZLZX2020-03)the R&D Department of China National Petroleum Corporation(2022DQ0604-01)。
文摘The picking efficiency of seismic first breaks(FBs)has been greatly accelerated by deep learning(DL)technology.However,the picking accuracy and efficiency of DL methods still face huge challenges in low signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)situations.To address this issue,we propose a regression approach to pick FBs based on bidirectional long short-term memory(Bi LSTM)neural network by learning the implicit Eikonal equation of 3D inhomogeneous media with rugged topography in the target region.We employ a regressive model that represents the relationships among the elevation of shots,offset and the elevation of receivers with their seismic traveltime to predict the unknown FBs,from common-shot gathers with sparsely distributed traces.Different from image segmentation methods which automatically extract image features and classify FBs from seismic data,the proposed method can learn the inner relationship between field geometry and FBs.In addition,the predicted results by the regressive model are continuous values of FBs rather than the discrete ones of the binary distribution.The picking results of synthetic data shows that the proposed method has low dependence on label data,and can obtain reliable and similar predicted results using two types of label data with large differences.The picking results of9380 shots for 3D seismic data generated by vibroseis indicate that the proposed method can still accurately predict FBs in low SNR data.The subsequent stacked profiles further illustrate the reliability and effectiveness of the proposed method.The results of model data and field seismic data demonstrate that the proposed regression method is a robust first-break picker with high potential for field application.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.11875027,11975096).
文摘The extended kernel ridge regression(EKRR)method with odd-even effects was adopted to improve the description of the nuclear charge radius using five commonly used nuclear models.These are:(i)the isospin-dependent A^(1∕3) formula,(ii)relativistic continuum Hartree-Bogoliubov(RCHB)theory,(iii)Hartree-Fock-Bogoliubov(HFB)model HFB25,(iv)the Weizsacker-Skyrme(WS)model WS*,and(v)HFB25*model.In the last two models,the charge radii were calculated using a five-parameter formula with the nuclear shell corrections and deformations obtained from the WS and HFB25 models,respectively.For each model,the resultant root-mean-square deviation for the 1014 nuclei with proton number Z≥8 can be significantly reduced to 0.009-0.013 fm after considering the modification with the EKRR method.The best among them was the RCHB model,with a root-mean-square deviation of 0.0092 fm.The extrapolation abilities of the KRR and EKRR methods for the neutron-rich region were examined,and it was found that after considering the odd-even effects,the extrapolation power was improved compared with that of the original KRR method.The strong odd-even staggering of nuclear charge radii of Ca and Cu isotopes and the abrupt kinks across the neutron N=126 and 82 shell closures were also calculated and could be reproduced quite well by calculations using the EKRR method.
文摘本文为确定等跨连续梁桥的冲击系数,根据结构静力分析,求取边跨及中跨跨中挠度静力响应;基于结构动力学原理,分别建立车辆与桥梁的动力方程,采用五轴十三自由度平面车辆模型,三跨连续梁桥模型,建立车桥耦合振动方程,采用ANSYS和MATLAB软件编译等跨连续梁桥车桥耦合分析模块,迭代求解边跨及中跨跨中挠度动力响应;再依据冲击系数计算公式求出边跨及中跨冲击系数,确定桥面不平整度、速度、基频和载重这4个因素为影响因素,利用SPSS (statistical package for the social sciences)数值分析软件进行逐步回归,得到了各参数对冲击系数的显著程度,给出等跨连续梁桥挠度冲击系数计算公式。结果表明:桥面不平整度与挠度冲击系数的相关性较好,而速度、基频和载重对挠度冲击系数的线性相关较为不显著;回归分析结果显示,桥面不平整度与冲击系数之间的标准化相关系数Beta达到0.908,表明桥面不平整度对连续梁桥的冲击系数具有重要影响。然而,现行规范未考虑到这一因素,因此建议在后续规范修订中纳入桥面不平整度的影响。
文摘针对以往船舶备件需求预测精度不高,无法满足船舶综合保障的实际问题,文章建立一种基于改进红狐优化算法(improved red fox optimization,IRFO)的支持向量机回归(support vector regression,SVR)的船舶备件预测模型。为进一步提高红狐优化算法(red fox optimization,RFO)的寻优精度,重构其全局搜索公式,并融合精英反向学习策略。采用基准测试函数对IRFO算法进行仿真实验,实验表明,IRFO算法比RFO算法、粒子群算法、灰狼优化算法寻优能力更强,综合性能更优。基于船舶备件历史数据,建立IRFO-SVR船舶备件预测模型,通过对比其他模型的预测结果,表明IRFO-SVR的预测效果更佳。
