变压器油中溶解气体体积分数是表征变压器健康状态及故障特性的重要参量。因此,准确预测变压器油中溶解气体的体积分数,有助于及时把握变压器的状态演化与故障发展趋势。现有对气体体积分数预测的研究多集中在点预测方面,难以全面反映...变压器油中溶解气体体积分数是表征变压器健康状态及故障特性的重要参量。因此,准确预测变压器油中溶解气体的体积分数,有助于及时把握变压器的状态演化与故障发展趋势。现有对气体体积分数预测的研究多集中在点预测方面,难以全面反映气体体积分数的不确定性信息。针对此问题,提出了一种基于灰狼优化长短期记忆网络(long short⁃term memory based on grey wolf optimization,GWO⁃LSTM)与非参数核密度估计(non⁃parametric kernel density estimation,NKDE)的变压器油中溶解气体体积分数点—区间联合预测方法。首先,搭建变压器油中溶解气体体积分数点—区间联合预测模型的整体结构,阐述预测的实现过程;其次,利用自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解方法将气体体积分数原始序列分解成若干个较为平缓的子序列,再基于GWO⁃LSTM对上述子序列分别进行点预测,并将所有子序列点预测结果叠加合成还原为气体体积分数点预测结果;然后,基于气体体积分数点预测结果及NKDE构造气体体积分数预测误差的概率密度估计函数,进而生成不同置信水平下的区间预测结果;最后,对所提方法进行算例分析,算例结果验证了所提方法的有效性。展开更多
As a production quality index of hematite grinding process,particle size(PS)is hard to be measured in real time.To achieve the PS estimation,this paper proposes a novel data driven model of PS using stochastic configu...As a production quality index of hematite grinding process,particle size(PS)is hard to be measured in real time.To achieve the PS estimation,this paper proposes a novel data driven model of PS using stochastic configuration network(SCN)with robust technique,namely,robust SCN(RSCN).Firstly,this paper proves the universal approximation property of RSCN with weighted least squares technique.Secondly,three robust algorithms are presented by employing M-estimation with Huber loss function,M-estimation with interquartile range(IQR)and nonparametric kernel density estimation(NKDE)function respectively to set the penalty weight.Comparison experiments are first carried out based on the UCI standard data sets to verify the effectiveness of these methods,and then the data-driven PS model based on the robust algorithms are established and verified.Experimental results show that the RSCN has an excellent performance for the PS estimation.展开更多
文摘变压器油中溶解气体体积分数是表征变压器健康状态及故障特性的重要参量。因此,准确预测变压器油中溶解气体的体积分数,有助于及时把握变压器的状态演化与故障发展趋势。现有对气体体积分数预测的研究多集中在点预测方面,难以全面反映气体体积分数的不确定性信息。针对此问题,提出了一种基于灰狼优化长短期记忆网络(long short⁃term memory based on grey wolf optimization,GWO⁃LSTM)与非参数核密度估计(non⁃parametric kernel density estimation,NKDE)的变压器油中溶解气体体积分数点—区间联合预测方法。首先,搭建变压器油中溶解气体体积分数点—区间联合预测模型的整体结构,阐述预测的实现过程;其次,利用自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解方法将气体体积分数原始序列分解成若干个较为平缓的子序列,再基于GWO⁃LSTM对上述子序列分别进行点预测,并将所有子序列点预测结果叠加合成还原为气体体积分数点预测结果;然后,基于气体体积分数点预测结果及NKDE构造气体体积分数预测误差的概率密度估计函数,进而生成不同置信水平下的区间预测结果;最后,对所提方法进行算例分析,算例结果验证了所提方法的有效性。
基金Projects(61603393,61741318)supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(BK20160275)supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China+1 种基金Project(2015M581885)supported by the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of ChinaProject(PAL-N201706)supported by the Open Project Foundation of State Key Laboratory of Synthetical Automation for Process Industries of Northeastern University,China
文摘As a production quality index of hematite grinding process,particle size(PS)is hard to be measured in real time.To achieve the PS estimation,this paper proposes a novel data driven model of PS using stochastic configuration network(SCN)with robust technique,namely,robust SCN(RSCN).Firstly,this paper proves the universal approximation property of RSCN with weighted least squares technique.Secondly,three robust algorithms are presented by employing M-estimation with Huber loss function,M-estimation with interquartile range(IQR)and nonparametric kernel density estimation(NKDE)function respectively to set the penalty weight.Comparison experiments are first carried out based on the UCI standard data sets to verify the effectiveness of these methods,and then the data-driven PS model based on the robust algorithms are established and verified.Experimental results show that the RSCN has an excellent performance for the PS estimation.
