Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devi...Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devices have made power load data increasingly complex and volatile.This places higher demands on the prediction and analysis of power loads.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of short-term power load,a CNN-BiLSTMTPA short-term power prediction model based on the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm(IWOA)with mixed strategies was proposed.Firstly,the model combined the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network(BiLSTM)to fully extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of the load data itself.Then,the Temporal Pattern Attention(TPA)mechanism was introduced into the CNN-BiLSTM model to automatically assign corresponding weights to the hidden states of the BiLSTM.This allowed the model to differentiate the importance of load sequences at different time intervals.At the same time,in order to solve the problem of the difficulties of selecting the parameters of the temporal model,and the poor global search ability of the whale algorithm,which is easy to fall into the local optimization,the whale algorithm(IWOA)was optimized by using the hybrid strategy of Tent chaos mapping and Levy flight strategy,so as to better search the parameters of the model.In this experiment,the real load data of a region in Zhejiang was taken as an example to analyze,and the prediction accuracy(R2)of the proposed method reached 98.83%.Compared with the prediction models such as BP,WOA-CNN-BiLSTM,SSA-CNN-BiLSTM,CNN-BiGRU-Attention,etc.,the experimental results showed that the model proposed in this study has a higher prediction accuracy.展开更多
延迟是全球卫星导航定位中重要的误差源之一,提高电离层TEC建模和预报精度对改善卫星导航定位精度至关重要.本文构建了以太阳辐射通量指数F_(10.7)、地磁活动指数Dst、地理坐标和中国科学院(Chinese Academy of Sciences,CAS)GIM数据为...延迟是全球卫星导航定位中重要的误差源之一,提高电离层TEC建模和预报精度对改善卫星导航定位精度至关重要.本文构建了以太阳辐射通量指数F_(10.7)、地磁活动指数Dst、地理坐标和中国科学院(Chinese Academy of Sciences,CAS)GIM数据为输入参数的NeuralProphet神经网络模型(NP模型),实现在2015年3月特大磁暴期中国区域电离层TEC短期预报.为验证NP模型的预报精度,本文同时构建了长短期记忆神经网络(Long Short-term Memory Neural Network,LSTM)模型进行对比分析.结果统计分析表明,NP模型在磁暴期(2015年DOY076-078)TEC预报值RMSE和RD分别为0.83 TECU和3.13%,绝对和相对精度较LSTM模型分别提高1.49 TECU和10.25%;且NP模型RMSE优于1.5 TECU的比例达97.24%,远高于LSTM模型.NP模型预报值与CAS具有较好一致性和无偏性,偏差均值仅为-0.01 TECU,而LSTM模型预报值的均值偏大,偏差均值为1.49 TECU.从低纬到中纬度的三个纬度带内,NP模型RMSE分别为1.12、0.83和0.44 TECU,精度比LSTM模型提高1.94、1.56和1.23 TECU.整体上,在磁暴期NP模型预报性能明显优于LSTM模型,能够精细描述中国区域电离层TEC时空变化.展开更多
To address the shortcomings of single-step decision making in the existing deep reinforcement learning based unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)real-time path planning problem,a real-time UAV path planning algorithm based on...To address the shortcomings of single-step decision making in the existing deep reinforcement learning based unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)real-time path planning problem,a real-time UAV path planning algorithm based on long shortterm memory(RPP-LSTM)network is proposed,which combines the memory characteristics of recurrent neural network(RNN)and the deep reinforcement learning algorithm.LSTM networks are used in this algorithm as Q-value networks for the deep Q network(DQN)algorithm,which makes the decision of the Q-value network has some memory.Thanks to LSTM network,the Q-value network can use the previous environmental information and action information which effectively avoids the problem of single-step decision considering only the current environment.Besides,the algorithm proposes a hierarchical reward and punishment function for the specific problem of UAV real-time path planning,so that the UAV can more reasonably perform path planning.Simulation verification shows that compared with the traditional feed-forward neural network(FNN)based UAV autonomous path planning algorithm,the RPP-LSTM proposed in this paper can adapt to more complex environments and has significantly improved robustness and accuracy when performing UAV real-time path planning.展开更多
目前,空管各类安全管理信息化平台积累了大量非结构化文本数据,但未得到充分利用,为了挖掘空管不正常事件中潜藏的风险,研究利用收集的四千余条空管站不正常事件数据和自构建的4836个空管领域专业术语词,提出了一个基于空管专业信息词...目前,空管各类安全管理信息化平台积累了大量非结构化文本数据,但未得到充分利用,为了挖掘空管不正常事件中潜藏的风险,研究利用收集的四千余条空管站不正常事件数据和自构建的4836个空管领域专业术语词,提出了一个基于空管专业信息词抽取的双向编码器表征法和双向长短时记忆网络的深度学习模型(Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory,BERT-BiLSTM)。该模型通过对不正常事件文本进行信息抽取,过滤其中无用信息,并将双向编码器表征法(Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers,BERT)模型输出的特征向量序列作为双向长短时记忆网络(Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory,BiLSTM)的输入序列,以对空管不正常事件文本风险识别任务进行对比试验。试验结果显示,在风险识别试验中,基于空管专业信息词抽取的BERT-BiLSTM模型相比于通用领域的BERT模型,风险识别准确率提升了3百分点。可以看出该模型有效提升了空管安全信息处理能力,能够有效识别空管部门日常运行中出现的不正常事件所带来的风险,同时可以为空管安全领域信息挖掘相关任务提供基础参考。展开更多
文摘Load forecasting is of great significance to the development of new power systems.With the advancement of smart grids,the integration and distribution of distributed renewable energy sources and power electronics devices have made power load data increasingly complex and volatile.This places higher demands on the prediction and analysis of power loads.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of short-term power load,a CNN-BiLSTMTPA short-term power prediction model based on the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm(IWOA)with mixed strategies was proposed.Firstly,the model combined the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)with the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Network(BiLSTM)to fully extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of the load data itself.Then,the Temporal Pattern Attention(TPA)mechanism was introduced into the CNN-BiLSTM model to automatically assign corresponding weights to the hidden states of the BiLSTM.This allowed the model to differentiate the importance of load sequences at different time intervals.At the same time,in order to solve the problem of the difficulties of selecting the parameters of the temporal model,and the poor global search ability of the whale algorithm,which is easy to fall into the local optimization,the whale algorithm(IWOA)was optimized by using the hybrid strategy of Tent chaos mapping and Levy flight strategy,so as to better search the parameters of the model.In this experiment,the real load data of a region in Zhejiang was taken as an example to analyze,and the prediction accuracy(R2)of the proposed method reached 98.83%.Compared with the prediction models such as BP,WOA-CNN-BiLSTM,SSA-CNN-BiLSTM,CNN-BiGRU-Attention,etc.,the experimental results showed that the model proposed in this study has a higher prediction accuracy.
基金supported by the Natural Science Basic Research Prog ram of Shaanxi(2022JQ-593)。
文摘To address the shortcomings of single-step decision making in the existing deep reinforcement learning based unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)real-time path planning problem,a real-time UAV path planning algorithm based on long shortterm memory(RPP-LSTM)network is proposed,which combines the memory characteristics of recurrent neural network(RNN)and the deep reinforcement learning algorithm.LSTM networks are used in this algorithm as Q-value networks for the deep Q network(DQN)algorithm,which makes the decision of the Q-value network has some memory.Thanks to LSTM network,the Q-value network can use the previous environmental information and action information which effectively avoids the problem of single-step decision considering only the current environment.Besides,the algorithm proposes a hierarchical reward and punishment function for the specific problem of UAV real-time path planning,so that the UAV can more reasonably perform path planning.Simulation verification shows that compared with the traditional feed-forward neural network(FNN)based UAV autonomous path planning algorithm,the RPP-LSTM proposed in this paper can adapt to more complex environments and has significantly improved robustness and accuracy when performing UAV real-time path planning.
文摘目前,空管各类安全管理信息化平台积累了大量非结构化文本数据,但未得到充分利用,为了挖掘空管不正常事件中潜藏的风险,研究利用收集的四千余条空管站不正常事件数据和自构建的4836个空管领域专业术语词,提出了一个基于空管专业信息词抽取的双向编码器表征法和双向长短时记忆网络的深度学习模型(Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory,BERT-BiLSTM)。该模型通过对不正常事件文本进行信息抽取,过滤其中无用信息,并将双向编码器表征法(Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers,BERT)模型输出的特征向量序列作为双向长短时记忆网络(Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory,BiLSTM)的输入序列,以对空管不正常事件文本风险识别任务进行对比试验。试验结果显示,在风险识别试验中,基于空管专业信息词抽取的BERT-BiLSTM模型相比于通用领域的BERT模型,风险识别准确率提升了3百分点。可以看出该模型有效提升了空管安全信息处理能力,能够有效识别空管部门日常运行中出现的不正常事件所带来的风险,同时可以为空管安全领域信息挖掘相关任务提供基础参考。
