A novel adaptive sampling interval algorithm for multitarget tracking is presented. This algorithm which is based on interacting multiple models incorporates the grey relational grade （GRG） into the particle swarm o...A novel adaptive sampling interval algorithm for multitarget tracking is presented. This algorithm which is based on interacting multiple models incorporates the grey relational grade （GRG） into the particle swarm optimization （PSO）. Firstly, the desired tracking accuracy is set for each target. Secondly, sampling intervals are selected as particles, and then the advantage of the GRG is taken as the measurement function for resource management. Meanwhile, the fitness value of the PSO is used to measure the difference between desired tracking accuracy and estimated tracking accuracy. Finally, it is suggested that the radar should track the target whose prediction value of the next sampling interval is the smallest. Simulations show that the proposed method improves both the tracking accuracy and tracking efficiency of the phased-array radar.展开更多
In this paper, the AMSAA-BISE model with missing data is discussed. The ML estimates of model parameters and current MTBF are given, and the chi-squared test and a plot for cumulative number of failures versus cumulat...In this paper, the AMSAA-BISE model with missing data is discussed. The ML estimates of model parameters and current MTBF are given, and the chi-squared test and a plot for cumulative number of failures versus cumulative testing time are used to test the goodness of fit for the model. This paper concludes with a numerical example to verify the model.展开更多
Although multi-stage incremental sheet forming has always been adopted instead of single-stage forming to form parts with a steep wall angle or to achieve a high forming performance, it is largely dependent on empiric...Although multi-stage incremental sheet forming has always been adopted instead of single-stage forming to form parts with a steep wall angle or to achieve a high forming performance, it is largely dependent on empirical designs. In order to research multi-stage forming further, the effect of forming stages(n) and angle interval between the two adjacent stages(Δα) on thickness distribution was investigated. Firstly, a finite element method(FEM) model of multi-stage incremental forming was established and experimentally verified. Then, based on the proposed simulation model, different strategies were adopted to form a frustum of cone with wall angle of 30° to research the thickness distribution of multi-pass forming. It is proved that the minimum thickness increases largely and the variance of sheet thickness decreases significantly as the value of n grows. Further, with the increase of Δα, the minimum thickness increases initially and then decreases, and the optimal thickness distribution is achieved with Δα of 10°.Additionally, a formula is deduced to estimate the sheet thickness after multi-stage forming and proved to be effective. And the simulation results fit well with the experimental results.展开更多
Urban air pollution has brought great troubles to physical and mental health,economic development,environmental protection,and other aspects.Predicting the changes and trends of air pollution can provide a scientific ...Urban air pollution has brought great troubles to physical and mental health,economic development,environmental protection,and other aspects.Predicting the changes and trends of air pollution can provide a scientific basis for governance and prevention efforts.In this paper,we propose an interval prediction method that considers the spatio-temporal characteristic information of PM_(2.5)signals from multiple stations.K-nearest neighbor(KNN)algorithm interpolates the lost signals in the process of collection,transmission,and storage to ensure the continuity of data.Graph generative network(GGN)is used to process time-series meteorological data with complex structures.The graph U-Nets framework is introduced into the GGN model to enhance its controllability to the graph generation process,which is beneficial to improve the efficiency and robustness of the model.In addition,sparse Bayesian regression is incorporated to improve the dimensional disaster defect of traditional kernel density estimation(KDE)interval prediction.With the support of sparse strategy,sparse Bayesian regression kernel density estimation(SBR-KDE)is very efficient in processing high-dimensional large-scale data.The PM_(2.5)data of spring,summer,autumn,and winter from 34 air quality monitoring sites in Beijing verified the accuracy,generalization,and superiority of the proposed model in interval prediction.展开更多
Dynamic analysis of the tethered satellite system(TSS)can provide a fundamental guideline to the evaluation of performance and robust design of the system examined.Uncertainties inherited with the parameters would ind...Dynamic analysis of the tethered satellite system(TSS)can provide a fundamental guideline to the evaluation of performance and robust design of the system examined.Uncertainties inherited with the parameters would induce unexpected variation of the response and deteriorate the reliability of the system.In this work,the effect of uncertain mass of the satellites on the deployment and retrieval dynamics of the TSS is investigated.First the interval mode is employed to take the variation of mass of satellite into account in the processes of deployment and retrieval.Then,the Chebyshev interval method is used to obtain the lower and upper response bounds of the TSS.To achieve a smooth and reliable implementation of deployment and retrieval,the nonlinear programming based on the Gauss pseudospectral method is adopted to obtain optimal trajectory of tether velocity.Numerical results show that the uncertainties of mass of the satellites have a distinct influence on the response of tether tension in the processes of deployment and retrieval.展开更多
This work focuses on the effect of the interval between two shocks on the ejecta formation from the grooved aluminum(Al_(1100))surface by using smoothed particle hydrodynamics numerical simulation.Two unsupported shoc...This work focuses on the effect of the interval between two shocks on the ejecta formation from the grooved aluminum(Al_(1100))surface by using smoothed particle hydrodynamics numerical simulation.Two unsupported shocks are obtained by the plate-impact between sample and two flyers at interval,with a peak pressure of approximately 30 GPa for each shock.When the shock interval varies from 2.11 to 7.67 times the groove depth,the bubble velocity reduces to a constant,and the micro jetting factor R_(J) from spike to bubble exhibits a non-monotonic change that decreases initially and then increases.At a shock interval of 3.6 times the groove depth,micro jetting factor R_(J) from spike to bubble reaches its minimum value of approximately 0.6.While,the micro jetting factor R_(F) from spike to free surface decreases linearly at first,and stabilizes around 0.25 once the shock interval surpasses 4.18 times the groove depth.When the shock interval is less than 4.18 times the groove depth,the unloading wave generated by the breakout of the first shock wave is superimpose with the unloading part of the second shock wave to form a large tensile area.展开更多
In order to accurately measure an object’s three-dimensional surface shape,the influence of sampling on it was studied.First,on the basis of deriving spectra expressions through the Fourier transform,the generation o...In order to accurately measure an object’s three-dimensional surface shape,the influence of sampling on it was studied.First,on the basis of deriving spectra expressions through the Fourier transform,the generation of CCD pixels was analyzed,and its expression was given.Then,based on the discrete expression of deformation fringes obtained after sampling,its Fourier spectrum expression was derived,resulting in an infinitely repeated"spectra island"in the frequency domain.Finally,on the basis of using a low-pass filter to remove high-order harmonic components and retaining only one fundamental frequency component,the inverse Fourier transform was used to reconstruct the signal strength.A method of reducing the sampling interval,i.e.,reducing the number of sampling points per fringe,was proposed to increase the ratio between the sampling frequency and the fundamental frequency of the grating.This was done to reconstruct the object’s surface shape more accurately under the condition of m>4.The basic principle was verified through simulation and experiment.In the simulation,the sampling intervals were 8 pixels,4 pixels,2 pixels,and 1 pixel,the maximum absolute error values obtained in the last three situations were 88.80%,38.38%,and 31.50%in the first situation,respectively,and the corresponding average absolute error values are 71.84%,43.27%,and 32.26%.It is demonstrated that the smaller the sampling interval,the better the recovery effect.Taking the same four sampling intervals in the experiment as in the simulation can also lead to the same conclusions.The simulated and experimental results show that reducing the sampling interval can improve the accuracy of object surface shape measurement and achieve better reconstruction results.展开更多
Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or h...Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or how to estimate the parameter. There are still some open problems,such as the error analysis of parameter estimation, the theoretical proof of the convergence of theiterative algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of parameters. The Yule-Simon distributionis a heavy-tailed distribution and the parameter is usually less than 2, so the variance does notexist. This makes it difficult to give an interval estimation of the parameter. Using the compressiontransformation, this paper proposes a method of interval estimation based on the centrallimit theorem. This method can be applied to many heavy-tailed distributions. The other twoasymptotic confidence intervals of the parameter are obtained based on the maximum likelihoodand the mode method. These estimation methods are compared in simulations and applications toempirical data.展开更多
Finding the optimal dose combination in two-agent dose-finding trials is challenging due to limited sample sizes and the extensive range of potential doses.Unlike traditional chemotherapy or radiotherapy,which primari...Finding the optimal dose combination in two-agent dose-finding trials is challenging due to limited sample sizes and the extensive range of potential doses.Unlike traditional chemotherapy or radiotherapy,which primarily focuses on identifying the maximum tolerated dose(MTD),therapies involving targeted and immune agents facilitate the identifica-tion of an optimal biological dose combination(OBDC)by simultaneously evaluating both toxicity and efficacy.Cur-rently,most approaches to determining the OBDC in the literature are model-based and require complex model fittings,making them cumbersome and challenging to implement.To address these challenges,we developed a novel model-as-sisted approach called uTPI-Comb.This approach refines the established utility-based toxicity probability interval design by integrating a strategically devised zone-based local and global candidate set searching strategy,which can effectively optimize the decision-making process for two-agent dose escalation or de-escalation in drug combination trials.Extensive simulation studies demonstrate that the uTPI-Comb design speeds up the dose-searching process and provides substantial improvements over existing model-based methods in determining the optimal biological dose combinations.展开更多
Failure mode and effect analysis(FMEA)is a preven-tative risk evaluation method used to evaluate and eliminate fail-ure modes within a system.However,the traditional FMEA method exhibits many deficiencies that pose ch...Failure mode and effect analysis(FMEA)is a preven-tative risk evaluation method used to evaluate and eliminate fail-ure modes within a system.However,the traditional FMEA method exhibits many deficiencies that pose challenges in prac-tical applications.To improve the conventional FMEA,many modified FMEA models have been suggested.However,the majority of them inadequately address consensus issues and focus on achieving a complete ranking of failure modes.In this research,we propose a new FMEA approach that integrates a two-stage consensus reaching model and a density peak clus-tering algorithm for the assessment and clustering of failure modes.Firstly,we employ the interval 2-tuple linguistic vari-ables(I2TLVs)to express the uncertain risk evaluations provided by FMEA experts.Then,a two-stage consensus reaching model is adopted to enable FMEA experts to reach a consensus.Next,failure modes are categorized into several risk clusters using a density peak clustering algorithm.Finally,the proposed FMEA is illustrated by a case study of load-bearing guidance devices of subway systems.The results show that the proposed FMEA model can more easily to describe the uncertain risk information of failure modes by using the I2TLVs;the introduction of an endogenous feedback mechanism and an exogenous feedback mechanism can accelerate the process of consensus reaching;and the density peak clustering of failure modes successfully improves the practical applicability of FMEA.展开更多
在Hamilton体系下,基于区间B(B-spline wavelet on the interval)-样条小波有限元法研究压电材料特征值的灵敏度分析问题,推导压电材料特征值响应灵敏度系数的控制方程。利用二分法求得压电材料层合板前4阶特征值对材料密度的灵敏度系数...在Hamilton体系下,基于区间B(B-spline wavelet on the interval)-样条小波有限元法研究压电材料特征值的灵敏度分析问题,推导压电材料特征值响应灵敏度系数的控制方程。利用二分法求得压电材料层合板前4阶特征值对材料密度的灵敏度系数,并与有限差分法所得结果相比较,证明所提方法的可靠性。结果表明,在Hamilton体系下求解特征值的灵敏度系数是可行的。展开更多
With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects （alternatives） for obtaining the best environmental qua...With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects （alternatives） for obtaining the best environmental quality and economic benefits is an important problem for the decision makers. The purpose of this paper is to develop a decision-making model to rank a finite number of alternatives with several and sometimes conflicting criteria. A model for ranking the projects of municipal sewage treatment plants is proposed by using exports＇ information and the data of the real projects. And, the ranking result is given based on the PROMETHEE method. Furthermore, by means of the concept of the weight stability intervals （WSI）, the sensitivity of the ranking results to the size of criteria values and the change of weights value of criteria are discussed. The result shows that some criteria, such as “proportion of benefit to project cost”, will influence the ranking result of alternatives very strong while others not. The influence are not only from the value of criterion but also from the changing the weight of criterion. So, some criteria such as “proportion of benefit to project cost” are key critera for ranking the projects. Decision makers must be cautious to them.展开更多
This article deals with the case of the failure-censored constant-stress partially accelerated life test （CSPALT） for highly reliable materials or products assuming the Pareto distribution of the second kind. The ma...This article deals with the case of the failure-censored constant-stress partially accelerated life test （CSPALT） for highly reliable materials or products assuming the Pareto distribution of the second kind. The maximum likelihood （ML） method is used to estimate the parameters of the CSPALT model. The performance of ML estimators is investigated via their mean square error. Also, the average confidence interval length （IL） and the associated co- verage probability （CP） are obtained. Moreover, optimum CSPALT plans that determine the optimal proportion of the test units al- located to each stress are developed. Such optimum test plans minimize the generalized asymptotic variance （GAV） of the ML estimators of the model parameters. For illustration, Monte Carlo simulation studies are given and a real life example is provided.展开更多
基金supported by the Pre-research Fund (N0901-041)the Funding of Jiangsu Innovation Program for Graduate Education(CX09B 081Z CX10B 110Z)
文摘A novel adaptive sampling interval algorithm for multitarget tracking is presented. This algorithm which is based on interacting multiple models incorporates the grey relational grade （GRG） into the particle swarm optimization （PSO）. Firstly, the desired tracking accuracy is set for each target. Secondly, sampling intervals are selected as particles, and then the advantage of the GRG is taken as the measurement function for resource management. Meanwhile, the fitness value of the PSO is used to measure the difference between desired tracking accuracy and estimated tracking accuracy. Finally, it is suggested that the radar should track the target whose prediction value of the next sampling interval is the smallest. Simulations show that the proposed method improves both the tracking accuracy and tracking efficiency of the phased-array radar.
文摘In this paper, the AMSAA-BISE model with missing data is discussed. The ML estimates of model parameters and current MTBF are given, and the chi-squared test and a plot for cumulative number of failures versus cumulative testing time are used to test the goodness of fit for the model. This paper concludes with a numerical example to verify the model.
基金Project(51005258) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(CDJZR12130065) supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China
文摘Although multi-stage incremental sheet forming has always been adopted instead of single-stage forming to form parts with a steep wall angle or to achieve a high forming performance, it is largely dependent on empirical designs. In order to research multi-stage forming further, the effect of forming stages(n) and angle interval between the two adjacent stages(Δα) on thickness distribution was investigated. Firstly, a finite element method(FEM) model of multi-stage incremental forming was established and experimentally verified. Then, based on the proposed simulation model, different strategies were adopted to form a frustum of cone with wall angle of 30° to research the thickness distribution of multi-pass forming. It is proved that the minimum thickness increases largely and the variance of sheet thickness decreases significantly as the value of n grows. Further, with the increase of Δα, the minimum thickness increases initially and then decreases, and the optimal thickness distribution is achieved with Δα of 10°.Additionally, a formula is deduced to estimate the sheet thickness after multi-stage forming and proved to be effective. And the simulation results fit well with the experimental results.
基金Project(2020YFC2008605)supported by the National Key Research and Development Project of ChinaProject(52072412)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2021JJ30359)supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province,China。
文摘Urban air pollution has brought great troubles to physical and mental health,economic development,environmental protection,and other aspects.Predicting the changes and trends of air pollution can provide a scientific basis for governance and prevention efforts.In this paper,we propose an interval prediction method that considers the spatio-temporal characteristic information of PM_(2.5)signals from multiple stations.K-nearest neighbor(KNN)algorithm interpolates the lost signals in the process of collection,transmission,and storage to ensure the continuity of data.Graph generative network(GGN)is used to process time-series meteorological data with complex structures.The graph U-Nets framework is introduced into the GGN model to enhance its controllability to the graph generation process,which is beneficial to improve the efficiency and robustness of the model.In addition,sparse Bayesian regression is incorporated to improve the dimensional disaster defect of traditional kernel density estimation(KDE)interval prediction.With the support of sparse strategy,sparse Bayesian regression kernel density estimation(SBR-KDE)is very efficient in processing high-dimensional large-scale data.The PM_(2.5)data of spring,summer,autumn,and winter from 34 air quality monitoring sites in Beijing verified the accuracy,generalization,and superiority of the proposed model in interval prediction.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U21B2075)。
文摘Dynamic analysis of the tethered satellite system(TSS)can provide a fundamental guideline to the evaluation of performance and robust design of the system examined.Uncertainties inherited with the parameters would induce unexpected variation of the response and deteriorate the reliability of the system.In this work,the effect of uncertain mass of the satellites on the deployment and retrieval dynamics of the TSS is investigated.First the interval mode is employed to take the variation of mass of satellite into account in the processes of deployment and retrieval.Then,the Chebyshev interval method is used to obtain the lower and upper response bounds of the TSS.To achieve a smooth and reliable implementation of deployment and retrieval,the nonlinear programming based on the Gauss pseudospectral method is adopted to obtain optimal trajectory of tether velocity.Numerical results show that the uncertainties of mass of the satellites have a distinct influence on the response of tether tension in the processes of deployment and retrieval.
基金supported by the Doctoral Research Launch Foundation of Liaoning Province(Grant No.2022-BS-185),Chinathe Science Challenge Project(Grant No.TZ2016001),China+2 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11972092,12172056,12002049),Chinathe key Laboratory of Computational Physics(Gant No.HX02021-24)720-24)Shenyang Ligong University Talent Introduction Support Fund,China。
文摘This work focuses on the effect of the interval between two shocks on the ejecta formation from the grooved aluminum(Al_(1100))surface by using smoothed particle hydrodynamics numerical simulation.Two unsupported shocks are obtained by the plate-impact between sample and two flyers at interval,with a peak pressure of approximately 30 GPa for each shock.When the shock interval varies from 2.11 to 7.67 times the groove depth,the bubble velocity reduces to a constant,and the micro jetting factor R_(J) from spike to bubble exhibits a non-monotonic change that decreases initially and then increases.At a shock interval of 3.6 times the groove depth,micro jetting factor R_(J) from spike to bubble reaches its minimum value of approximately 0.6.While,the micro jetting factor R_(F) from spike to free surface decreases linearly at first,and stabilizes around 0.25 once the shock interval surpasses 4.18 times the groove depth.When the shock interval is less than 4.18 times the groove depth,the unloading wave generated by the breakout of the first shock wave is superimpose with the unloading part of the second shock wave to form a large tensile area.
文摘In order to accurately measure an object’s three-dimensional surface shape,the influence of sampling on it was studied.First,on the basis of deriving spectra expressions through the Fourier transform,the generation of CCD pixels was analyzed,and its expression was given.Then,based on the discrete expression of deformation fringes obtained after sampling,its Fourier spectrum expression was derived,resulting in an infinitely repeated"spectra island"in the frequency domain.Finally,on the basis of using a low-pass filter to remove high-order harmonic components and retaining only one fundamental frequency component,the inverse Fourier transform was used to reconstruct the signal strength.A method of reducing the sampling interval,i.e.,reducing the number of sampling points per fringe,was proposed to increase the ratio between the sampling frequency and the fundamental frequency of the grating.This was done to reconstruct the object’s surface shape more accurately under the condition of m>4.The basic principle was verified through simulation and experiment.In the simulation,the sampling intervals were 8 pixels,4 pixels,2 pixels,and 1 pixel,the maximum absolute error values obtained in the last three situations were 88.80%,38.38%,and 31.50%in the first situation,respectively,and the corresponding average absolute error values are 71.84%,43.27%,and 32.26%.It is demonstrated that the smaller the sampling interval,the better the recovery effect.Taking the same four sampling intervals in the experiment as in the simulation can also lead to the same conclusions.The simulated and experimental results show that reducing the sampling interval can improve the accuracy of object surface shape measurement and achieve better reconstruction results.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11961035)Jiangxi Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.20224BCD41001).
文摘Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or how to estimate the parameter. There are still some open problems,such as the error analysis of parameter estimation, the theoretical proof of the convergence of theiterative algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of parameters. The Yule-Simon distributionis a heavy-tailed distribution and the parameter is usually less than 2, so the variance does notexist. This makes it difficult to give an interval estimation of the parameter. Using the compressiontransformation, this paper proposes a method of interval estimation based on the centrallimit theorem. This method can be applied to many heavy-tailed distributions. The other twoasymptotic confidence intervals of the parameter are obtained based on the maximum likelihoodand the mode method. These estimation methods are compared in simulations and applications toempirical data.
基金This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province(2022AH050703)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11671375).
文摘Finding the optimal dose combination in two-agent dose-finding trials is challenging due to limited sample sizes and the extensive range of potential doses.Unlike traditional chemotherapy or radiotherapy,which primarily focuses on identifying the maximum tolerated dose(MTD),therapies involving targeted and immune agents facilitate the identifica-tion of an optimal biological dose combination(OBDC)by simultaneously evaluating both toxicity and efficacy.Cur-rently,most approaches to determining the OBDC in the literature are model-based and require complex model fittings,making them cumbersome and challenging to implement.To address these challenges,we developed a novel model-as-sisted approach called uTPI-Comb.This approach refines the established utility-based toxicity probability interval design by integrating a strategically devised zone-based local and global candidate set searching strategy,which can effectively optimize the decision-making process for two-agent dose escalation or de-escalation in drug combination trials.Extensive simulation studies demonstrate that the uTPI-Comb design speeds up the dose-searching process and provides substantial improvements over existing model-based methods in determining the optimal biological dose combinations.
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(22120240094)Humanities and Social Science Fund of Ministry of Education China(22YJA630082).
文摘Failure mode and effect analysis(FMEA)is a preven-tative risk evaluation method used to evaluate and eliminate fail-ure modes within a system.However,the traditional FMEA method exhibits many deficiencies that pose challenges in prac-tical applications.To improve the conventional FMEA,many modified FMEA models have been suggested.However,the majority of them inadequately address consensus issues and focus on achieving a complete ranking of failure modes.In this research,we propose a new FMEA approach that integrates a two-stage consensus reaching model and a density peak clus-tering algorithm for the assessment and clustering of failure modes.Firstly,we employ the interval 2-tuple linguistic vari-ables(I2TLVs)to express the uncertain risk evaluations provided by FMEA experts.Then,a two-stage consensus reaching model is adopted to enable FMEA experts to reach a consensus.Next,failure modes are categorized into several risk clusters using a density peak clustering algorithm.Finally,the proposed FMEA is illustrated by a case study of load-bearing guidance devices of subway systems.The results show that the proposed FMEA model can more easily to describe the uncertain risk information of failure modes by using the I2TLVs;the introduction of an endogenous feedback mechanism and an exogenous feedback mechanism can accelerate the process of consensus reaching;and the density peak clustering of failure modes successfully improves the practical applicability of FMEA.
文摘在Hamilton体系下,基于区间B(B-spline wavelet on the interval)-样条小波有限元法研究压电材料特征值的灵敏度分析问题,推导压电材料特征值响应灵敏度系数的控制方程。利用二分法求得压电材料层合板前4阶特征值对材料密度的灵敏度系数,并与有限差分法所得结果相比较,证明所提方法的可靠性。结果表明,在Hamilton体系下求解特征值的灵敏度系数是可行的。
基金Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (T0502)Shanghai Municipal Educational Commission Project (05EZ32).
文摘With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects （alternatives） for obtaining the best environmental quality and economic benefits is an important problem for the decision makers. The purpose of this paper is to develop a decision-making model to rank a finite number of alternatives with several and sometimes conflicting criteria. A model for ranking the projects of municipal sewage treatment plants is proposed by using exports＇ information and the data of the real projects. And, the ranking result is given based on the PROMETHEE method. Furthermore, by means of the concept of the weight stability intervals （WSI）, the sensitivity of the ranking results to the size of criteria values and the change of weights value of criteria are discussed. The result shows that some criteria, such as “proportion of benefit to project cost”, will influence the ranking result of alternatives very strong while others not. The influence are not only from the value of criterion but also from the changing the weight of criterion. So, some criteria such as “proportion of benefit to project cost” are key critera for ranking the projects. Decision makers must be cautious to them.
基金supported by the King Saud University,Deanship of Scientific Research and College of Science Research Center
文摘This article deals with the case of the failure-censored constant-stress partially accelerated life test （CSPALT） for highly reliable materials or products assuming the Pareto distribution of the second kind. The maximum likelihood （ML） method is used to estimate the parameters of the CSPALT model. The performance of ML estimators is investigated via their mean square error. Also, the average confidence interval length （IL） and the associated co- verage probability （CP） are obtained. Moreover, optimum CSPALT plans that determine the optimal proportion of the test units al- located to each stress are developed. Such optimum test plans minimize the generalized asymptotic variance （GAV） of the ML estimators of the model parameters. For illustration, Monte Carlo simulation studies are given and a real life example is provided.
