On the basis of Artificial Neural Network theory, a back propagation neural network with one middle layer is building in this paper, and its algorithms is also given, Using this BP network model, study the case of Mal...On the basis of Artificial Neural Network theory, a back propagation neural network with one middle layer is building in this paper, and its algorithms is also given, Using this BP network model, study the case of Malian-River basin. The results by calculating show that the solution based on BP algorithms are consis- tent with those based multiple - variables linear regression model. They also indicate that BP model in this paper is reasonable and BP algorithms are feasible.展开更多
There are few methods of semi-autogenous(SAG)mill power prediction in the full-scale without using long experiments.In this work,the effects of different operating parameters such as feed moisture,mass flowrate,mill l...There are few methods of semi-autogenous(SAG)mill power prediction in the full-scale without using long experiments.In this work,the effects of different operating parameters such as feed moisture,mass flowrate,mill load cell mass,SAG mill solid percentage,inlet and outlet water to the SAG mill and work index are studied.A total number of185full-scale SAG mill works are utilized to develop the artificial neural network(ANN)and the hybrid of ANN and genetic algorithm(GANN)models with relations of input and output data in the full-scale.The results show that the GANN model is more efficient than the ANN model in predicting SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis was also performed to determine the most effective input parameters on SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis of the GANN model shows that the work index,inlet water to the SAG mill,mill load cell weight,SAG mill solid percentage,mass flowrate and feed moisture have a direct relationship with mill power,while outlet water to the SAG mill has an inverse relationship with mill power.The results show that the GANN model could be useful to evaluate a good output to changes in input operation parameters.展开更多
The resilient modulus(MR)of subgrade soils is usually used to characterize the stiffness of subgrade and is a crucial parameter in pavement design.In order to determine the resilient modulus of compacted subgrade soil...The resilient modulus(MR)of subgrade soils is usually used to characterize the stiffness of subgrade and is a crucial parameter in pavement design.In order to determine the resilient modulus of compacted subgrade soils quickly and accurately,an optimized artificial neural network(ANN)approach based on the multi-population genetic algorithm(MPGA)was proposed in this study.The MPGA overcomes the problems of the traditional ANN such as low efficiency,local optimum and over-fitting.The developed optimized ANN method consists of ten input variables,twenty-one hidden neurons,and one output variable.The physical properties(liquid limit,plastic limit,plasticity index,0.075 mm passing percentage,maximum dry density,optimum moisture content),state variables(degree of compaction,moisture content)and stress variables(confining pressure,deviatoric stress)of subgrade soils were selected as input variables.The MR was directly used as the output variable.Then,adopting a large amount of experimental data from existing literature,the developed optimized ANN method was compared with the existing representative estimation methods.The results show that the developed optimized ANN method has the advantages of fast speed,strong generalization ability and good accuracy in MR estimation.展开更多
In recent years, advanced control technologies have been used for the optimum control of a cold storage. But there are still a lot of shortcomings. One of the main problems is that the traditional methods can't re...In recent years, advanced control technologies have been used for the optimum control of a cold storage. But there are still a lot of shortcomings. One of the main problems is that the traditional methods can't realize the on-line predictive optimum control of a refrigerating system with simple and valid algorithms. An RBF neural network has a strong ability in nonlinear mapping, a good interpolating value performance, and a higher training speed. Thus a two-stage RBF neural network is proposed in this paper. Combining the measured values with the predicted values, the two-stage RBF neural network is used for the on-line predictive optimum control of the cold storage temperature. The application results of the new methods show a great success.展开更多
This paper presents a novel artificial intelligence (AI) based approach to predict crucial meteorological parameters such as temperature,pressure,and wind speed,typically calculated from computationally intensive weat...This paper presents a novel artificial intelligence (AI) based approach to predict crucial meteorological parameters such as temperature,pressure,and wind speed,typically calculated from computationally intensive weather research and forecasting (WRF) model.Accurate meteorological data is indispensable for simulating the release of radioactive effluents,especially in dispersion modeling for nuclear emergency decision support systems.Simulation of meteorological conditions during nuclear emergencies using the conventional WRF model is very complex and time-consuming.Therefore,a new artificial neural network (ANN) based technique was proposed as a viable alternative for meteorological prediction.A multi-input multi-output neural network was trained using historical site-specific meteorological data to forecast the meteorological parameters.Comprehensive evaluation of this technique was conducted to test its performance in forecasting various parameters including atmospheric pressure,temperature,and wind speed components in both East-West and North-South directions.The performance of developed network was evaluated on an unknown dataset,and acquired results are within the acceptable range for all meteorological parameters.Results show that ANNs possess the capability to forecast meteorological parameters,such as temperature and pressure,at multiple spatial locations within a grid with high accuracy,utilizing input data from a single station.However,accuracy is slightly compromised when predicting wind speed components.Root mean square error (RMSE) was utilized to report the accuracy of predicted results,with values of 1.453℃for temperature,77 Pa for predicted pressure,1.058 m/s for the wind speed of U-component and 0.959 m/s for the wind speed of V-component.In conclusion,this approach offers a precise,efficient,and wellinformed method for administrative decision-making during nuclear emergencies.展开更多
热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)机组作为区域综合能源系统中的核心耦合单元,是实现其高效运行的关键。然而CHP机组固有的热电耦合特性对其灵活调节能力和运行性能的提升存在一定限制,且其“以电定热”和“以热定电”的调度策略...热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)机组作为区域综合能源系统中的核心耦合单元,是实现其高效运行的关键。然而CHP机组固有的热电耦合特性对其灵活调节能力和运行性能的提升存在一定限制,且其“以电定热”和“以热定电”的调度策略缺乏前瞻性考虑多元负荷和可再生能源的波动特征。集成储能系统可有效实现热电解耦,然而储能的充放电能力受其能量状态的影响。基于此,该文采用长短记忆神经网络对区域综合能源系统中多元负荷及可再生能源进行预测,以考虑多元负荷及可再生能源的时序波动,提出耦合源-荷多元预测与电热混合储能的主动调度策略。构建计及碳排放惩罚、可再生能源弃电惩罚及运行成本的优化调度模型。以某区域综合能源系统为例,对比分析“以电定热”、“以热定电”和“主动调度”策略。结果显示,长短记忆神经网络的最大预测误差为4.7%。采用电-热混合储能主动调度策略的运行成本比“以电定热”和“以热定电”运行策略分别降低了11.12%和3.67%。此外,主动调度策略可在平滑热电比负荷曲线的同时降低区域综合能源系统购电成本,并且对CHP机组的能效具有促进作用,进一步降低了区域综合能源系统的运行成本。展开更多
基金Supported by Brilliant Youth Fund in Hebei Province
文摘On the basis of Artificial Neural Network theory, a back propagation neural network with one middle layer is building in this paper, and its algorithms is also given, Using this BP network model, study the case of Malian-River basin. The results by calculating show that the solution based on BP algorithms are consis- tent with those based multiple - variables linear regression model. They also indicate that BP model in this paper is reasonable and BP algorithms are feasible.
文摘There are few methods of semi-autogenous(SAG)mill power prediction in the full-scale without using long experiments.In this work,the effects of different operating parameters such as feed moisture,mass flowrate,mill load cell mass,SAG mill solid percentage,inlet and outlet water to the SAG mill and work index are studied.A total number of185full-scale SAG mill works are utilized to develop the artificial neural network(ANN)and the hybrid of ANN and genetic algorithm(GANN)models with relations of input and output data in the full-scale.The results show that the GANN model is more efficient than the ANN model in predicting SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis was also performed to determine the most effective input parameters on SAG mill power.The sensitivity analysis of the GANN model shows that the work index,inlet water to the SAG mill,mill load cell weight,SAG mill solid percentage,mass flowrate and feed moisture have a direct relationship with mill power,while outlet water to the SAG mill has an inverse relationship with mill power.The results show that the GANN model could be useful to evaluate a good output to changes in input operation parameters.
基金Project(51878078)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2018-025)supported by the Training Program for High-level Technical Personnel in Transportation Industry,ChinaProject(CTKY-PTRC-2018-003)supported by the Design Theory,Method and Demonstration of Durability Asphalt Pavement Based on Heavy-duty Traffic Conditions in Shanghai Area,China。
文摘The resilient modulus(MR)of subgrade soils is usually used to characterize the stiffness of subgrade and is a crucial parameter in pavement design.In order to determine the resilient modulus of compacted subgrade soils quickly and accurately,an optimized artificial neural network(ANN)approach based on the multi-population genetic algorithm(MPGA)was proposed in this study.The MPGA overcomes the problems of the traditional ANN such as low efficiency,local optimum and over-fitting.The developed optimized ANN method consists of ten input variables,twenty-one hidden neurons,and one output variable.The physical properties(liquid limit,plastic limit,plasticity index,0.075 mm passing percentage,maximum dry density,optimum moisture content),state variables(degree of compaction,moisture content)and stress variables(confining pressure,deviatoric stress)of subgrade soils were selected as input variables.The MR was directly used as the output variable.Then,adopting a large amount of experimental data from existing literature,the developed optimized ANN method was compared with the existing representative estimation methods.The results show that the developed optimized ANN method has the advantages of fast speed,strong generalization ability and good accuracy in MR estimation.
文摘In recent years, advanced control technologies have been used for the optimum control of a cold storage. But there are still a lot of shortcomings. One of the main problems is that the traditional methods can't realize the on-line predictive optimum control of a refrigerating system with simple and valid algorithms. An RBF neural network has a strong ability in nonlinear mapping, a good interpolating value performance, and a higher training speed. Thus a two-stage RBF neural network is proposed in this paper. Combining the measured values with the predicted values, the two-stage RBF neural network is used for the on-line predictive optimum control of the cold storage temperature. The application results of the new methods show a great success.
文摘This paper presents a novel artificial intelligence (AI) based approach to predict crucial meteorological parameters such as temperature,pressure,and wind speed,typically calculated from computationally intensive weather research and forecasting (WRF) model.Accurate meteorological data is indispensable for simulating the release of radioactive effluents,especially in dispersion modeling for nuclear emergency decision support systems.Simulation of meteorological conditions during nuclear emergencies using the conventional WRF model is very complex and time-consuming.Therefore,a new artificial neural network (ANN) based technique was proposed as a viable alternative for meteorological prediction.A multi-input multi-output neural network was trained using historical site-specific meteorological data to forecast the meteorological parameters.Comprehensive evaluation of this technique was conducted to test its performance in forecasting various parameters including atmospheric pressure,temperature,and wind speed components in both East-West and North-South directions.The performance of developed network was evaluated on an unknown dataset,and acquired results are within the acceptable range for all meteorological parameters.Results show that ANNs possess the capability to forecast meteorological parameters,such as temperature and pressure,at multiple spatial locations within a grid with high accuracy,utilizing input data from a single station.However,accuracy is slightly compromised when predicting wind speed components.Root mean square error (RMSE) was utilized to report the accuracy of predicted results,with values of 1.453℃for temperature,77 Pa for predicted pressure,1.058 m/s for the wind speed of U-component and 0.959 m/s for the wind speed of V-component.In conclusion,this approach offers a precise,efficient,and wellinformed method for administrative decision-making during nuclear emergencies.
文摘在天然气储气站点,异常井筒温度将严重影响储气作业过程,准确地预测井筒温度对于提升作业过程的安全性具有重要意义。在作业过程关联参数分析的基础上,提出了改进时空图卷积神经网络(advanced spatiotemporal graph convolutional neural network,A-SGCN)的储气库井筒温度预测方法。A-SGCN分别通过GCN和长短期记忆网络(long short term memory network,LSTM)进行空间依赖性建模和时间依赖性建模,结合自适应残差注意力机制有效捕捉时空数据之间的复杂关系,最终实现对温度的准确预测。方法的有效性通过黄草峡储气库2号注采站进行了验证,通过草储1井与草储6井的关联监测参数实现了对草储1井井口温度的准确预测。
文摘热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)机组作为区域综合能源系统中的核心耦合单元,是实现其高效运行的关键。然而CHP机组固有的热电耦合特性对其灵活调节能力和运行性能的提升存在一定限制,且其“以电定热”和“以热定电”的调度策略缺乏前瞻性考虑多元负荷和可再生能源的波动特征。集成储能系统可有效实现热电解耦,然而储能的充放电能力受其能量状态的影响。基于此,该文采用长短记忆神经网络对区域综合能源系统中多元负荷及可再生能源进行预测,以考虑多元负荷及可再生能源的时序波动,提出耦合源-荷多元预测与电热混合储能的主动调度策略。构建计及碳排放惩罚、可再生能源弃电惩罚及运行成本的优化调度模型。以某区域综合能源系统为例,对比分析“以电定热”、“以热定电”和“主动调度”策略。结果显示,长短记忆神经网络的最大预测误差为4.7%。采用电-热混合储能主动调度策略的运行成本比“以电定热”和“以热定电”运行策略分别降低了11.12%和3.67%。此外,主动调度策略可在平滑热电比负荷曲线的同时降低区域综合能源系统购电成本,并且对CHP机组的能效具有促进作用,进一步降低了区域综合能源系统的运行成本。