A variable weight approach was proposed to handle the probability deficiency problem in the evidential reasoning (ER) approach. The probability deficiency problem indicated that the inadequate information in the ass...A variable weight approach was proposed to handle the probability deficiency problem in the evidential reasoning (ER) approach. The probability deficiency problem indicated that the inadequate information in the assessment result should be less than that in the input. However, it was proved that under certain circumstances, the ER approach could not solve the probability deficiency problem. The variable weight approach was based on two assumptions: 1) the greater weight should be given to the rule with more adequate information; 2) the greater weight should be given to the rules with less disparate information. Assessment results of two notional case studies show that 1) the probability deficiency problem is solved using the proposed variable weight approach, and 2) the information with less inadequacy and more disparity is provided for the decision makers to help reach a consensus.展开更多
An integration-centric approach is proposed to handle inadequate information in the system readiness level (SRL) assessment using the evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm. Current SRL assessment approaches cannot b...An integration-centric approach is proposed to handle inadequate information in the system readiness level (SRL) assessment using the evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm. Current SRL assessment approaches cannot be applied to handle inadequate information as the input. The ER-based approach is proposed to synthesize inadequate input information and an integration-centric perspective is applied to reduce the computational complexity. Two case studies are performed to validate the efficiency of the proposed approach. And these studies are also performed to study how the inadequate information will affect the assessment result. And the differences caused by the system's structure. The importance of the system's structure in the SRL assessment is demonstrated and the contributions made in this study are summarized as conclusions.展开更多
基金Foundation item: Projects(70901074, 71001104, 71201168) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘A variable weight approach was proposed to handle the probability deficiency problem in the evidential reasoning (ER) approach. The probability deficiency problem indicated that the inadequate information in the assessment result should be less than that in the input. However, it was proved that under certain circumstances, the ER approach could not solve the probability deficiency problem. The variable weight approach was based on two assumptions: 1) the greater weight should be given to the rule with more adequate information; 2) the greater weight should be given to the rules with less disparate information. Assessment results of two notional case studies show that 1) the probability deficiency problem is solved using the proposed variable weight approach, and 2) the information with less inadequacy and more disparity is provided for the decision makers to help reach a consensus.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (70901074 71001104)
文摘An integration-centric approach is proposed to handle inadequate information in the system readiness level (SRL) assessment using the evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm. Current SRL assessment approaches cannot be applied to handle inadequate information as the input. The ER-based approach is proposed to synthesize inadequate input information and an integration-centric perspective is applied to reduce the computational complexity. Two case studies are performed to validate the efficiency of the proposed approach. And these studies are also performed to study how the inadequate information will affect the assessment result. And the differences caused by the system's structure. The importance of the system's structure in the SRL assessment is demonstrated and the contributions made in this study are summarized as conclusions.