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Comparative analysis of machine learning and statistical models for cotton yield prediction in major growing districts of Karnataka,India
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作者 THIMMEGOWDA M.N. MANJUNATHA M.H. +4 位作者 LINGARAJ H. SOUMYA D.V. JAYARAMAIAH R. SATHISHA G.S. NAGESHA L. 《Journal of Cotton Research》 2025年第1期40-60,共21页
Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,su... Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies. 展开更多
关键词 COTTON Machine learning models statistical models Yield forecast Artificial neural network Weather variables
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Brittleness evaluation of gas-bearing coal based on statistical damage constitution model and energy evolution mechanism
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作者 XUE Yi WANG Lin-chao +5 位作者 LIU Yong RANJITH P G CAO Zheng-zheng SHI Xu-yang GAO Feng KONG Hai-ling 《Journal of Central South University》 2025年第2期566-581,共16页
Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a ... Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a statistical damage constitutive model and energy evolution mechanisms.Initially,integrating the principle of effective stress and the Hoek-Brown criterion,a statistical damage constitutive model for gas-bearing coal is established and validated through triaxial compression tests under different gas pressures to verify its accuracy and applicability.Subsequently,employing energy evolution mechanism,two energy characteristic parameters(elastic energy proportion and dissipated energy proportion)are analyzed.Based on the damage stress thresholds,the damage evolution characteristics of gas bearing coal were explored.Finally,by integrating energy characteristic parameters with damage parameters,a novel brittleness index is proposed.The results demonstrate that the theoretical curves derived from the statistical damage constitutive model closely align with the test curves,accurately reflecting the stress−strain characteristics of gas-bearing coal and revealing the stress drop and softening characteristics of coal in the post-peak stage.The shape parameter and scale parameter represent the brittleness and macroscopic strength of the coal,respectively.As gas pressure increases from 1 to 5 MPa,the shape parameter and the scale parameter decrease by 22.18%and 60.45%,respectively,indicating a reduction in both brittleness and strength of the coal.Parameters such as maximum damage rate and peak elastic energy storage limit positively correlate with coal brittleness.The brittleness index effectively captures the brittleness characteristics and reveals a decrease in brittleness and an increase in sensitivity to plastic deformation under higher gas pressure conditions. 展开更多
关键词 gas pressure statistical damage constitutive model energy evolution mechanism brittleness evaluation gas bearing coal
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Statistical analysis of pressure fluctuations during unsteady flow for low-specific-speed centrifugal pumps 被引量:3
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作者 裴吉 王文杰 袁寿其 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第3期1017-1024,共8页
A three-dimensional transient numerical simulation was conducted to study the pressure fluctuations in low-specific-speed centrifugal pumps. The characteristics of the inner flow were investigated using the SST k-ω t... A three-dimensional transient numerical simulation was conducted to study the pressure fluctuations in low-specific-speed centrifugal pumps. The characteristics of the inner flow were investigated using the SST k-ω turbulence model. The distributions of pressure fluctuations in the impeller and the volute were recorded, and the pressure fluctuation intensity was analyzed comprehensively, at the design condition, using statistical methods. The results show that the pressure fluctuation intensity increases along the impeller streamline from the leading edge to the trailing edge. In the impeller passage, the intensity near the shroud is much higher than that near the hub at thc inlet. However, the intensity at the middle passage is almost equal to the intensity at the outlet. The pressure fluctuation intensity is the highest at the trailing edge on the pressure side and near the tongue because of the rotor-stator interaction. The distribution of pressure fluctuation intensity is symmetrical in the axial cross sections of the volute channel. However, this intensity decreases with increasing radial distance. Hence, the pressure fluctuation intensity can be reduced by modifying the geometry of the leading edge in the impeller and the tongue in the volute. 展开更多
关键词 TRANSIENT pressure fluctuation intensity statistICS low specific speed centrifugal pump
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Joint multivariate statistical model and its applications to synthetic earthquake predic-tion 被引量:14
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作者 韩天锡 蒋淳 +2 位作者 魏雪丽 韩梅 冯德益 《地震学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2004年第5期523-528,625,共6页
针对目前地震综合预报中的一些问题,利用近30年来迅速发展的多元统计分析中主成分分析、判别分析组成多元统计组合模型,在众多的地震预报指标(预报因子)中采用信息最大化方法,选择对中期预测信息累积贡献率大于90%地震预报指标,分... 针对目前地震综合预报中的一些问题,利用近30年来迅速发展的多元统计分析中主成分分析、判别分析组成多元统计组合模型,在众多的地震预报指标(预报因子)中采用信息最大化方法,选择对中期预测信息累积贡献率大于90%地震预报指标,分别进行相关分析、预测、检验,最终应用马氏距离判别作外推综合预报;并以华北地区(30°~42°N,108°125°E)为例进行模型的应用检验,初步研究已取得了较好的效果. 展开更多
关键词 多元统计组合模型 主成分分析 判别分析 地震综合预报
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Statistical Tensile Strength for High Strain Rate of Aramid and UHMWPE Fibers 被引量:4
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作者 YANG Bin XIONG Tao XIONG Jie 《材料工程》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2006年第5期46-50,共5页
Dynamic tensile impact properties of aramid (Technora) and UHMWPE (DC851) fiber bundles were studied at two high strain rates by means of reflecting type Split Hopkinson Bar, and stress-strain curves of fiber yarns ... Dynamic tensile impact properties of aramid (Technora) and UHMWPE (DC851) fiber bundles were studied at two high strain rates by means of reflecting type Split Hopkinson Bar, and stress-strain curves of fiber yarns at different strain rates were obtained. Experimental results show that the initial elastic modulus, failure strength and unstable strain of aramid fiber yarns are strain rate insensitive, whereas the initial elastic modulus and unstable strain of UHMWPE fiber yarns are strain rate sensitive. A fiber-bundle statistical constitutive equation was used to describe the tensile behavior of aramid and UHMWPE fiber bundles at high strain rates. The good consistency between the simulated results and experimental data indicates that the modified double Weibull function can represent the tensile strength distribution of aramid and UHMWPE fibers and the method of extracting Weibull parameters from fiber bundles stress-strain data is valid. 展开更多
关键词 aramid fiber UHMWPE fiber impact behaviour statistical properties statistical constitutive equation
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Evaluation of mobility impact on urban work zones using statistical models 被引量:1
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作者 LIU Pei ZHANG Jian +3 位作者 QU Jun-rong LU Jia-jian CHENG Yang TAN Hua-chun 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第6期1513-1521,共9页
This work correlated the detailed work zone location and time data from the Wis LCS system with the five-min inductive loop detector data. One-sample percentile value test and two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov(K-S) test w... This work correlated the detailed work zone location and time data from the Wis LCS system with the five-min inductive loop detector data. One-sample percentile value test and two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov(K-S) test were applied to compare the speed and flow characteristics between work zone and non-work zone conditions. Furthermore, we analyzed the mobility characteristics of freeway work zones within the urban area of Milwaukee, WI, USA. More than 50% of investigated work zones have experienced speed reduction and 15%-30% is necessary reduced volumes. Speed reduction was more significant within and at the downstream of work zones than at the upstream. 展开更多
关键词 ITS data MOBILITY IMPACT WORK ZONE statistical model
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Statistical performance of IF estimation of LFM signals with timevarying amplitude using the peak of WVD 被引量:2
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作者 Chen Guanghua Ma Shiwei Qin Tinghao Wang Jian Li Ming Cao Jialin 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2005年第4期787-791,共5页
The instantaneous frequency (IF) estimation of the linear frequency modulated (LFM) signals with time-varying amplitude using the peak of the Wigner-Ville distribution (WVD) is studied. Theoretical analysis show... The instantaneous frequency (IF) estimation of the linear frequency modulated (LFM) signals with time-varying amplitude using the peak of the Wigner-Ville distribution (WVD) is studied. Theoretical analysis shows that the estimation on LFM signals with time-varying amplitude is unbiased, only if WVD of time-varying amplitude reaches its maximum at frequency zero no matter in which time. The statistical performance in the case of additive white Guassian noise is evaluated and an analytical expression for the variance is provided. The simulations using LFM signals with Gaussian envelope testify that IF can be estimated accurately using the peak of WVD for four models of amplitude variation. Furthermore the statistical result of estimation on the signals with amplitude descending before rising is better than that of the signals with constant amplitude when the amplitude variation rate is moderate. 展开更多
关键词 instantaneous frequency linear frequency modulated signals Wigner-Ville distribution statistical performance variance.
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Improved head-driven statistical models for natural language parsing 被引量:1
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作者 袁里驰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第10期2747-2752,共6页
Head-driven statistical models for natural language parsing are the most representative lexicalized syntactic parsing models, but they only utilize semantic dependency between words, and do not incorporate other seman... Head-driven statistical models for natural language parsing are the most representative lexicalized syntactic parsing models, but they only utilize semantic dependency between words, and do not incorporate other semantic information such as semantic collocation and semantic category. Some improvements on this distinctive parser are presented. Firstly, "valency" is an essential semantic feature of words. Once the valency of word is determined, the collocation of the word is clear, and the sentence structure can be directly derived. Thus, a syntactic parsing model combining valence structure with semantic dependency is purposed on the base of head-driven statistical syntactic parsing models. Secondly, semantic role labeling(SRL) is very necessary for deep natural language processing. An integrated parsing approach is proposed to integrate semantic parsing into the syntactic parsing process. Experiments are conducted for the refined statistical parser. The results show that 87.12% precision and 85.04% recall are obtained, and F measure is improved by 5.68% compared with the head-driven parsing model introduced by Collins. 展开更多
关键词 VALENCE structure SEMANTIC dependency head-driven statistical SYNTACTIC PARSING SEMANTIC role labeling
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A Fuzzy Adaptive Algorithm Based on“Current”Statistical Model for Maneuvering Target Tracking 被引量:1
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作者 王向华 覃征 +1 位作者 杨慧杰 杨新宇 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第3期194-199,共6页
The basic"current"statistical model and adaptive Kalman filter algorithm can not track a weakly maneuvering target precisely,though it has good estimate accuracy for strongly maneuvering target.In order to s... The basic"current"statistical model and adaptive Kalman filter algorithm can not track a weakly maneuvering target precisely,though it has good estimate accuracy for strongly maneuvering target.In order to solve this problem,a novel nonlinear fuzzy membership function was presented to adjust the upper and lower limit of target acceleration adaptively,and then the validity of the new algorithm for feeblish maneuvering target was proved in theory.At last,the computer simulation experiments indicated that the new algorithm has a great advantage over the basic"current"statistical model and adaptive algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 control theory maneuvering target tracking "current"statistical model fuzzy control simulation analyses
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Statistical variability and fragility assessment of ballistic perforation of steel plates for 7.62 mm AP ammunition 被引量:2
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作者 Mark G.Stewart Michael DNetherton 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第3期503-513,共11页
The paper describes field test results of 7.62×51 mm M61 AP(armour piercing) ammunition fired into mild steel targets at an outdoor range.The targets varied from 10 mm to 32 mm in thickness.The tests recorded pen... The paper describes field test results of 7.62×51 mm M61 AP(armour piercing) ammunition fired into mild steel targets at an outdoor range.The targets varied from 10 mm to 32 mm in thickness.The tests recorded penetration depth,probability of perforation(i.e.,complete penetration),muzzle and impact velocities,bullet mass,and plate yield strength and hardness.The measured penetration depth exhibited a variability of approximately±12%.The paper then compared ballistic test results with predictive models of steel penetration depth and thickness to prevent perforation.Statistical parameters were derived for muzzle and impact velocity,bullet mass,plate thickness,plate hardness,and model error.A Monte-Carlo probabilistic analysis was then developed to estimate the probability of plate perforation of 7.62 mm M61 AP ammunition for a range of impact velocities,and for mild steels,and High Hardness Armour(HHA) plates.This perforation fragility analysis considered the random variability of impact velocity,bullet mass,plate thickness,plate hardness,and model error.Such a probabilistic analysis allows for reliability-based design,where,for example,the plate thickness with 95% reliability(i.e.only 1 in 20 shots will penetrate the wall) can be estimated knowing the probabilistic distribution of perforation.Hence,it was found that the plate thickness to ensure a low 5% probability of perforation needs to be 11-15% thicker than required to have a 50/50 chance of perforation for mild steel plates.Plates would need to be 20-30% thicker if probability of perforation is reduced to zero. 展开更多
关键词 BALLISTICS PROBABILITY statistICS Steel plates Armour steel AMMUNITION Experimental PERFORATION
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Fault diagnosis and process monitoring using a statistical pattern framework based on a self-organizing map 被引量:2
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作者 宋羽 姜庆超 颜学峰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第2期601-609,共9页
A multivariate method for fault diagnosis and process monitoring is proposed. This technique is based on a statistical pattern(SP) framework integrated with a self-organizing map(SOM). An SP-based SOM is used as a cla... A multivariate method for fault diagnosis and process monitoring is proposed. This technique is based on a statistical pattern(SP) framework integrated with a self-organizing map(SOM). An SP-based SOM is used as a classifier to distinguish various states on the output map, which can visually monitor abnormal states. A case study of the Tennessee Eastman(TE) process is presented to demonstrate the fault diagnosis and process monitoring performance of the proposed method. Results show that the SP-based SOM method is a visual tool for real-time monitoring and fault diagnosis that can be used in complex chemical processes.Compared with other SOM-based methods, the proposed method can more efficiently monitor and diagnose faults. 展开更多
关键词 statistic pattern framework self-organizing map fault diagnosis process monitoring
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Application of multivariate statistical techniques in assessment of surface water quality in Second Songhua River basin,China 被引量:4
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作者 郑力燕 于宏兵 王启山 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第5期1040-1051,共12页
Multivariate statistical techniques,such as cluster analysis(CA),discriminant analysis(DA),principal component analysis(PCA) and factor analysis(FA),were applied to evaluate and interpret the surface water quality dat... Multivariate statistical techniques,such as cluster analysis(CA),discriminant analysis(DA),principal component analysis(PCA) and factor analysis(FA),were applied to evaluate and interpret the surface water quality data sets of the Second Songhua River(SSHR) basin in China,obtained during two years(2012-2013) of monitoring of 10 physicochemical parameters at 15 different sites.The results showed that most of physicochemical parameters varied significantly among the sampling sites.Three significant groups,highly polluted(HP),moderately polluted(MP) and less polluted(LP),of sampling sites were obtained through Hierarchical agglomerative CA on the basis of similarity of water quality characteristics.DA identified p H,F,DO,NH3-N,COD and VPhs were the most important parameters contributing to spatial variations of surface water quality.However,DA did not give a considerable data reduction(40% reduction).PCA/FA resulted in three,three and four latent factors explaining 70%,62% and 71% of the total variance in water quality data sets of HP,MP and LP regions,respectively.FA revealed that the SSHR water chemistry was strongly affected by anthropogenic activities(point sources:industrial effluents and wastewater treatment plants;non-point sources:domestic sewage,livestock operations and agricultural activities) and natural processes(seasonal effect,and natural inputs).PCA/FA in the whole basin showed the best results for data reduction because it used only two parameters(about 80% reduction) as the most important parameters to explain 72% of the data variation.Thus,this work illustrated the utility of multivariate statistical techniques for analysis and interpretation of datasets and,in water quality assessment,identification of pollution sources/factors and understanding spatial variations in water quality for effective stream water quality management. 展开更多
关键词 Second Songhua River basin water quality multivariate statistical techniques cluster analysis discriminant analysis principal component analysis factor analysis
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Non-parametric Statistical Analysis and Spatial Distribution of the Regional Geochemical Data of the Okiep Copper District,Namaqualand,South Africa:Implications for Anthropogenic Influence and Risk Assessment
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作者 Robert N.Hansen 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期69-69,共1页
The Okiep Copper District is the oldest mining district in South Africa with a legacy of more than 150 years of mining.This legacy can be felt in the presence of large tailings dams scattered throughout the area.These... The Okiep Copper District is the oldest mining district in South Africa with a legacy of more than 150 years of mining.This legacy can be felt in the presence of large tailings dams scattered throughout the area.These tailings have a deleterious impact on the surrounding environment.To use geochemical methods in determining the scale of the impact, pre-mining background levels need to be determined. This is especially difficult in areas for which 展开更多
关键词 statistical analysis METALS soil risk assessment
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Statistical Analysis of Human Reliability of Armored Equipment 被引量:1
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作者 刘维平 曹伟国 任晶 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2007年第3期230-234,共5页
Human errors of seven types of armored equipment, which occur during the course of field test, are statistically analyzed. The human error-to-armored equipment failure ratio is obtained. The causes of human errors are... Human errors of seven types of armored equipment, which occur during the course of field test, are statistically analyzed. The human error-to-armored equipment failure ratio is obtained. The causes of human errors are analyzed. The distribution law of human errors is acquired. The ratio of human errors and human reliability index are also calculated. 展开更多
关键词 数理统计学 装甲装备 操作错误事故 统计量
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Multifeature Statistical TV Tracker
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作者 Zhu Zhenfu(Beijing Institute of Environmental Features) 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1990年第1期64-70,共7页
A multifeature statistical image segmentation algorithm is described. Multiple features such as grey, edge magnitude and correlation are combined to form a multidimensional space statistics. The statistical algorithm ... A multifeature statistical image segmentation algorithm is described. Multiple features such as grey, edge magnitude and correlation are combined to form a multidimensional space statistics. The statistical algorithm is used to segment an image using the decision curved surface determined by the multidimensional feature function. The segmentation problem which is difficult to solve using the features independently will be readily solved using the same features jointly. An adaptive segmentation algorithm is discussed. Test results of the real-time TV tracker newly developed have shown that the segmentation algorithm discussed here improves effectively the image segmentation quality and system tracking performance. 展开更多
关键词 Multifeature statistics Multifeature tracking Multimode tracking Adaptive image segmentation algorithm.
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Progress and Statistical Analysis of Journals on Electrical Engineering in China 被引量:1
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作者 QIN Jie LIN Liang-zhen QI Zhi-ping MA Yu-huan SHEN Guo-liao JING Bo-hong 《电工电能新技术》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第3期77-80,共4页
The paper has introduced the journals on electrical engineering in China in detail, presented its publication year, the distributions for all elec. eng. journals and its core journals, the position and level of the jo... The paper has introduced the journals on electrical engineering in China in detail, presented its publication year, the distributions for all elec. eng. journals and its core journals, the position and level of the journals, its main journal evaluation indexes, its core journal proportion and inclusion info. by famous international database. The paper offers much information about the journals on electrical engineering in China to readers, and also points out present problems and gives suggestion. 展开更多
关键词 《电工电能新技术》 期刊 编辑工作 发行工作
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Statistical Downscaling Retrieval of Land Surface Temperature in an Area with Complex Landforms in the Eastern Qinling Mountains of China Based on Sentinel-2/3 Satellite Data
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作者 Yuan Yuan Zheng Wei +2 位作者 Zhao Shi-fa Meng Ming-xia Hu Juan 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2023年第3期60-68,共9页
The study of land surface temperature(LST)is of great significance for ecosystem monitoring and ecological environmental protection in the Qinling Mountains of China.In view of the contradicting spatial and temporal r... The study of land surface temperature(LST)is of great significance for ecosystem monitoring and ecological environmental protection in the Qinling Mountains of China.In view of the contradicting spatial and temporal resolutions in extracting LST from satellite remote sensing(RS)data,the areas with complex landforms of the Eastern Qinling Mountains were selected as the research targets to establish the correlation between the normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)and LST.Detailed information on the surface features and temporal changes in the land surface was provided by Sentinel-2 and Sentinel-3,respectively.Based on the statistically downscaling method,the spatial scale could be decreased from 1000 m to 10 m,and LST with a Sentinel-3 temporal resolution and a 10 m spatial resolution could be retrieved.Comparing the 1 km resolution Sentinel-3 LST with the downscaling results,the 10 m LST downscaling data could accurately reflect the spatial distribution of the thermal characteristics of the original LST image.Moreover,the surface temperature data with a 10 m high spatial resolution had clear texture and obvious geomorphic features that could depict the detailed information of the ground features.The results showed that the average error was 5 K on April 16,2019 and 2.6 K on July 15,2019.The smaller error values indicated the higher vegetation coverage of summer downscaling result with the highest level on July 15. 展开更多
关键词 Eastern Qinling Mountains Sentinel-2/3 land surface temperature statistical downscaling
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Photon statistical properties of the cavity field in the two-atom Jaynes-Cummings model 被引量:2
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作者 LIANGJun WANGKai-ge 《原子与分子物理学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2001年第3期309-312,共4页
The model that two two level atoms interact with a singel mode cavity is studied. The exact solution of the time evolution operator for the two atom Jaynes Cummings model is presented by the bare states approach. Furt... The model that two two level atoms interact with a singel mode cavity is studied. The exact solution of the time evolution operator for the two atom Jaynes Cummings model is presented by the bare states approach. Furthermore, we investigate the dynamical properties of the photon statistics of the cavity field, and obtain a number of novel features. 展开更多
关键词 双原子J-C模型 光子统计 空穴场
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Statistical Distributions of Partial Discharges in Oil-paper Insulation Under AC-DC Combined Voltages 被引量:5
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作者 LI Jian JIANG Tianyan +2 位作者 HE Zhiman CHENG Changkui BAO Lianwei 《高电压技术》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2012年第8期1856-1862,共7页
关键词 局部放电 射频信号 放电量 高电压技术
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Statistical x^2 Testing Based Fault Detection for Linear Discrete Time-delay Systems 被引量:2
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作者 LIU Bo-Ang YE Hao 《自动化学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2014年第7期1278-1284,共7页
关键词 离散时滞系统 检验统计量 故障检测 线性 评价函数 随机系统 LDTV 黎卡提
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