摘要
针对当前生态发展严重滞后于经济、社会发展的现状,提出了一种衡量经济、社会、自然三个子系统协调发展的评价模型,即通过构建最优化指数及统一度指数来解决生态文明建设的协调评价问题。首先从经济、社会、自然三个子系统的角度选择指标体系;其次在子系统内部通过序关系分析法与算术加权平均算子,来确定各指标的权重及各子系统的综合评价值;再次通过指数构建模型得到最优化指数与统一度指数。在此基础上,根据上述构建的评价模型对我国及31个省市的生态文明建设的协调情况进行评价,并依据评价结果给出了相关的政策建议。
In recent years,China puts ecological civilization construction as a national development of the layout,which shows that the CPC Central Committee attachs more importance to the construction of ecological civilization.Ecological civilization construction evaluation is one of the key links.At present,ecological development in China is seriously lagging behind the economic and social development.In view of this problem,an evaluation model is put forward to measure coordinated development degree of the three subsystems of economy,society and nature,in order to promote the development of economic,social and natural keep in harmony.The healthy development of ecological civilization both needs a high level of comprehensive development and a high degree of coordinated development.In this paper,the optimal index is built to measure the comprehensive development level of each province,and the uniform index is built to measure the coordinated development degree of each province.Firstly,index system is constructed from the angle of the three subsystems which is the economic,social and natural system respectively.Secondly,in the subsystem,the weight of each index and the comprehensive evaluation value of each subsystem are calculated by order relation analysis method and arithmetic weighted average operator.Thirdly,the optimal index is constructed by calculating the mean distance between the comprehensive evaluation value and its minimum value of every province.The uniform index is constructed by calculating the logarithm of the distance between the three subsystems'evaluation values and their mean value.Finally,according to the statistical data of China Statistical Yearbook,China Statistical Digest and China Environmental Statistical Yearbook,using abovementioned evaluation model,the coordinated development degree of ecological civilization construction of 31 provinces in China is evaluated.The evaluation results show that the development level of the three subsystems of every province is in a state of unbalanced development,and the optimal degree index is negatively correlated with the degree of consistency index.The results also show that there is a certain relationship between the level of ecological civilization development and geographical distribution in China,and it is necessary to take different measures according to the characteristics of different regions.Ecological civilization construction coordination level evaluation is a very complex question,and many factors need to be considered.However,the most important thing is to grasp the definition of the ecological civilization coordinated development.Considering the coordination level of ecological civilization construction from three subsystems of economy,society and nature,it not only requires the development level of the subsystems to be synchronized,but also requires the development of every subsystem should continue to improve.Therefore,the optimal index and uniform index are construeted to reflect the coordination level of ecological civilization construction.The method can also be applied to other subsystems.At the same time,the order relation analysis method is used to determine the weight of indexes in each subsystem,can express the experts'opinion simply and accurately.In addition,the evaluation method of statistical index analysis is advanced and flexible,in which the evaluation index system can be constructed,weight can be determined and information aggregation model can be chosen.
出处
《中国管理科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第7期184-190,共7页
Chinese Journal of Management Science
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71671031
71071030)
关键词
生态文明
协调发展
综合评价
最优化指数
统一度指数
ecological civilization construction
coordinated development
comprehensive evaluation
optimal index
uniform index
