摘要
任何减缓气候变化的经济含义主要表现为对近期的经济增长的负面影响。对于经济发展水平相对滞后的发展中国家来说 ,这种负面影响不仅表现为近期的经济代价 ,还表现为对长远经济发展规模和水平的制约。但是减缓气候变化可以促进能源效率的提高 ,促进可持续发展 ,产生许多对国民经济的积极效应。实现《京都议定书》所规定的目标 ,对不同国家或地区均有着相应的经济影响。国际政治影响源于国家经济利益差异 。
The economic implications of a deceleration of climatic change are well represented by their negative impacts on economic growth in the short run.As levels of economic development in developing countries are relatively low, such negative impacts will be translated not only into economic costs in the short term,but also into restrictions on the scale and levels of long term economic development.On the other hand,a deceleration of climatic change will help improve energy efficiency and promote sustainable development,generating many positive impacts on the economy as well.This paper provides an overview of the economic impacts on individual countries/groups of countries considering the full implementation of the targets stipulated in the Kyoto Protocol.As international political influence has its roots in economic interests,a differentiation in such interests among countries leads to a division and re organization of international political groups in the negotiation of climatic change.
出处
《世界经济与政治》
CSSCI
北大核心
2003年第6期66-71,共6页
World Economics and Politics