摘要
农产品贸易是提升农民收入的有效途径之一。基于2011—2022年我国31个省份的面板数据,采用固定效应模型、调节效应模型,深入分析农产品贸易对我国不同地区农民收入水平的影响。结果表明:农产品贸易额在0.05水平上显著正向影响农民收入水平;控制变量中,选取村两委“一肩挑”和农村绿化率分别在0.05、0.01水平上显著正向影响农民收入水平,农膜使用量、农村贫困发生率和农村医疗卫生水平分别在0.01、0.05、0.05水平上显著负向影响农民收入水平;农产品贸易额在0.05水平上显著正向影响发达地区农民收入水平,在0.1水平上显著负向影响欠发达地区农民收入水平,在0.01水平上显著正向影响东部地区农民收入水平,在0.1水平上显著负向影响西部地区农民收入水平;农产品贸易额与互联网发展水平的交互项在0.05水平上显著正向影响农民收入水平。提出深化和扩展农产品贸易、促进全国各地农民收入的整体平衡与发展、充分发挥互联网的推动作用的对策建议。
Agricultural product trade is one of the effective ways to increase farmers’income.Based on panel data from 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2022,the fixed effects and moderation effects models were used to analyze in depth the impact of agricultural trade on farmers’income levels in different regions of China.The results indicated that the trade volume of agricultural products had a significant positive impact on farmers’income level at the 0.05 level.Among the control variables,the village committee taking on all the duties alone and rural greening rate significantly positively affect farmers’income levels at the 0.05 and 0.01 levels,respectively.The use of agricultural film,rural poverty incidence rate,and rural medical and health level significantly negatively affected farmers’income levels at the 0.01,0.05,and 0.05 levels,respectively.The trade volume of agricultural products had a significant positive impact on the income level of farmers in developed regions at the 0.05 level,a significant negative impact on the income level of farmers in underdeveloped regions at the 0.1 level,a significant positive impact on the income level of farmers in eastern regions at the 0.01 level,and a significant negative impact on the income level of farmers in western regions at the 0.1 level.The interaction term between agricultural product trade volume and Internet development level had a significant positive impact on farmers’income at 0.05 level.The countermeasures and suggestions were given including deepening and expanding the agricultural products trade,promoting the overall balance and development of farmers’income across the country,and giving full play to the driving role of the Internet.
作者
刘宁
刘静
王伶
LIU Ning;LIU Jing;WANG Ling(School of Economics and Management,Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434023,China)
出处
《河北农业科学》
2025年第3期22-26,32,共6页
Journal of Hebei Agricultural Sciences
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“我国新型农业经营主体数字化能力的培育机制与实施路径研究”(23BJY259)。
关键词
农产品贸易
农民收入水平
农民增收
调节效应
Agricultural product trade
Farmers’income levels
Increasing farmers’income
Moderating effect
作者简介
刘宁(1997-),女,山东菏泽人,硕士研究生在读,主要从事农业经济理论研究。E-mail:1320251144@qq.com;通信作者:王伶(1977-),女,湖北黄石人,副教授,主要从事农业经济相关研究。E-mail:414294059@qq.com。
