摘要
在气候变化与快速城市化影响下,城市洪涝问题日益严峻,韧性城市建设成为应对这一挑战的重要途径。梳理了城市洪涝多过程耦合模拟、社会响应机制和韧性评估的研究进展,以山西省晋城市西河排水片区为研究区,将场次暴雨洪涝水文水动力过程与系统涌现特征纳入基于系统动力学的韧性演化框架,实现融合自然-社会属性的洪涝韧性动态评估,结果表明:随着降雨重现期延长,排水系统负荷显著增大,人口和建筑物风险持续上升,城市洪涝韧性增量呈现不断下降的演化特征。
Under the influence of climate change and rapid urbanization,the issues of urban flooding and waterlogging have become increas⁃ingly severe,and the construction of resilient cities has become an important way to address these challenges.The research progress on urban flood multi⁃process coupled simulation,social response mechanisms and resilience assessment were reviewed in this study.In order to en⁃hance urban flood disaster prevention and reduction capabilities,the Xihe drainage area in Jincheng City,Shanxi Province,was selected as a case study.It incorporated hydrological and hydrodynamic processes and system emergence characteristics during stormwater flooding events into a resilience evolution framework based on system dynamics,achieving dynamic assessment of flood resilience with the integration of both“natural and social”attributes.The results show that with the extension of the recurrence period of rainfall,the load on the drainage system has significantly increased,the risks to the population and buildings have continued to rise,and the increment of urban flood resilience has shown an evolutionary feature of continuous decline.
作者
徐宗学
舒心怡
叶陈雷
XU Zongxue;SHU Xinyi;YE Chenlei(College of Water Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Hydrological Cycle and Sponge City Technology,Beijing 100875,China;School of National Safety and Emergency Management,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China)
出处
《人民黄河》
北大核心
2025年第9期55-61,69,共8页
Yellow River
基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目(52239003)。
关键词
城市洪涝
自然-社会属性
洪涝韧性评估
系统涌现特征
多主体建模
晋城市
urban flooding
natural⁃social attributes
flood resilience evolution
system emergence characteristics
multi⁃agent modeling
Jincheng City
作者简介
徐宗学(1962—),男,山东淄博人,教授,博士生导师,主要从事水文水资源学研究工作,E-mail:zxxu@bnu.edu.cn。
