摘要
双循环新发展格局下,产业结构升级与人才配置的协同机制亟待量化研究。通过系统动力学理论,构建包含“产业-创新-资金-人才”多维反馈的系统模型,基于2007-2022年中国宏观经济与工业面板数据,设计人才配置型、经济发展型、政府主导型、技术创新型、市场竞争型等7种政策情景,运用Vensim软件进行仿真模拟,重点分析市场、技术、组织、资金四维驱动机制对产业升级的动态影响。结果表明:人才配置型方案对产业结构升级的优化作用最为显著;经济发展型与技术创新型方案效果次之;政府主导型与市场竞争型方案作用相对有限。研究结论揭示了人才在系统中的核心作用,为优化产业升级路径与高层次人才培养提供了理论与决策支持。
Under the new development paradigm of dual circulation,the synergy between industrial structural upgrading and talent allocation is crucial for high-quality economic development.This study employs system dynamics theory to construct a multi-dimensional feedback system model encompassing"industry-innovation-capital-talent".Utilizing panel data,seven policy scenarios were designed-talent application-oriented,economic development-driven,government-led,technological innovation-focused,and market competition-oriented-and simulated using Vensim software.The analysis specifically examines the dynamic impact of four driving dimensions(market,technology,organization,and capital)on industrial upgrading.The results indicate that the talent application-oriented scheme exerts the most significant optimization effect on industrial structural upgrading.The economic development-driven and technological innovation-focused schemes demonstrate moderate positive effects,while the government-led and market competition-oriented schemes yield relatively limited impacts.The research reveals the core role of talent as the principal actor within the system,providing a theoretical foundation and decision-making insights for optimizing industrial upgrading pathways and cultivating high-level talent.
作者
兰安琪
贾浩楠
Lan Anqi;Jia Haonan(School of Information Management,Xinjiang University of Finance&Economics,Urumqi 830012,China)
出处
《科技创业月刊》
2025年第8期106-114,共9页
Journal of Entrepreneurship in Science & Technology
基金
新疆维吾尔自治区治疆方略一般项目“新疆人才链支撑创新链产业链深度融合的机制和对策研究”(2024ZJFY52)。
作者简介
兰安琪(2001-),女,新疆财经大学信息管理学院硕士研究生,研究方向:系统工程与决策科学;贾浩楠(2000-),女,新疆财经大学信息管理学院硕士研究生,研究方向:系统工程与决策科学。
