摘要
本文针对耦合度评价模型中的耦合度区分不显著、协调度结果存在误差的问题,结合农村物流与农村电商两系统之间的耦合离散性,构建改进后的耦合协调度评价模型,并运用贵州省2013—2023年的相关数据,与协调度评价模型、耦合协调度评价模型的结果进行比较检验和实证分析。研究显示:①相比于原有模型,改进后的耦合协调度评价模型,能够更有效地反映疫情等外部环境因素对农村物流及农村电商发展的影响变化,具有显著的解释性。②基于因子障碍度模型发现,在不同周期阶段,影响农村物流与农村电商发展协调度的障碍因子指标呈现一定的演进规律和时代特征。③农村固定资产投资(交通运输仓储方向)和企业参加电子商务活跃度两项指标,是近年影响两系统协调发展的首要障碍影响因素,需引起关注。
Aiming at the problem that the coupling degree distinction in the coupling degree evaluation model is not significant and the coordination degree results have errors,this paper combines the coupling discrete nature between the two systems of rural logistics and rural e-commerce,constructs an improved coupling coordination degree evaluation model,and applies the relevant data of Guizhou Province from 2013-2023 to conduct comparative tests and empirical analysis with the results of the coordination degree evaluation model and the coupling coordination degree evaluation model.The study shows that:①Compared with the original model,the improved coupled coordination degree model can more effectively reflect the changes in the impact of external environmental factors such as epidemics on the development of rural logistics and rural e-commerce,and it has significant interpretability.②Based on the factor obstacle degree model,it is found that the obstacle factor indicators affecting the coordination degree of rural logistics and rural e-commerce development show certain evolutionary patterns and epochal characteristics in different cycle stages.③The two indicators of rural fixed asset investment-transportation and warehousing direction and enterprise participation in e-commerce activeness are the primary obstacle influencing factors affecting the coordinated development of the two systems in recent years,which need to attract great attention.
作者
梁力军
来嘉宁
袁苗苗
LIANG Li-jun;LAI Jia-ning;YUAN Miao-miao(School of Business,Beijing Information Science&Technology University,Beijing 102206,China;School of Management Science and Engineering,Beijing Information Science&Technology University Beijing 102206,China)
出处
《物流研究》
2025年第4期56-65,共10页
Logistics Research
基金
国家社科基金“多源数据融合下数字金融风险监测与防范机制研究”(23BGL091)。
关键词
农村物流
农村电商
协调度测度
模型优化
因子障碍度
Rural Logistics
Rural E-commerce
Coordination Degree Measure
Model Optimization
Factor Obstacle Degree
作者简介
通信作者:梁力军(1974-),男,河北石家庄人,管理学博士、工商管理博士后,北京信息科技大学商学院副教授、硕士生导师,研究方向:物流与供应链管理,审计理论与实务等;来嘉宁(1998-),女,河南三门峡人,北京信息科技大学信息管理学院管理科学与工程系硕士研究生,研究方向:物流与供应链管理;袁苗苗(1998-),女,山东聊城人,北京信息科技大学信息管理学院物流工程系硕士研究生,研究方向:物流与供应链管理。
