摘要
论文使用2012—2021年我国30个省份的面板数据,综合运用复合熵权法、耦合协调度、时间加权向量测度制造业现代化转型升级与绿色金融耦合协调度,并运用核密度估计、基尼系数、σ收敛指数等刻画耦合协调水平的时空分异特征,进一步探究耦合协调发展的影响因素。研究发现:制造业现代化转型升级与绿色金融的耦合协调度逐年上升,东部地区耦合协调度的固有水平和发展速度均显著高于中部、西部和东北,且只有东部地区的耦合协调度呈现出收敛趋势,制造业现代化转型升级与绿色金融的耦合协调发展水平的空间差异主要源于区域间差异。从全国层面来看,产业结构高级化对制造业现代化转型升级与绿色金融的耦合协调发展存在显著正向促进作用;分区域来看,科技水平对东部地区、中部地区和西部地区制造业现代化转型升级与绿色金融的耦合协调发展均产生显著正向作用,西部地区还会受到对外开放水平和产业结构高级化的推动作用,而东北地区受产业结构高级化和政府干预程度的影响较大。
Using the panel data of 30 provinces from 2012 to 2021,the compound entropy weight method is applied to measure the coupling coordination degree between the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing modernization and green finance,and further portray the time-series evolution characteristics,spatial evolution process and influencing factors of the coupling coordination development level.The research finds that:the coupling and coordination degree of transformation and upgrading of manufacturing modernization and green finance has been increasing year by year,and the inherent level and development speed of the coupling and coordination degree in the eastern region are significantly higher than those in the central region,western region and northeastern region;there are regional differences in the coupling and coordination development level of manufacturing modernization and upgrading and green finance,and such differences mainly originate from inter-regional differences;at the national level,industrial structure upgrading has a significant positive effect on the coupled and coordinated development of transformation and upgrading of manufacturing modernization and green finance,and by region,the level of science and technology has a significant positive effect on the eastern,central and western regions,while the western region is also driven by the level of opening up to the outside world and the industrial structure upgrading,while the northeastern region is more influenced by the industrial structure upgrading and the degree of government intervention.
作者
王韶华
李庆怡
张伟
WANG Shaohua;LI Qingyi;ZHANG Wei(School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao Hebei 066000,China)
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2025年第8期94-102,共9页
Ecological Economy
基金
河北省自然科学基金“京津冀制造业绿色韧性的时空分异与供需组态提升路径研究”(G2024203004)
河北省自然科学基金“京津冀制造业数字化生产网络传导的降碳效应及协同减排策略”(G2024203029)
河北省燕赵黄金台聚才计划骨干人才项目(教育平台)(HJYB202533)。
关键词
制造业现代化转型升级
绿色金融
耦合协调
时空分异
影响因素
transformation and upgrading of manufacturing modernization
green finance
coupling coordination
spatio-temporal evolution
influencing factors
作者简介
第一作者:王韶华,博士,教授,博士研究生导师,研究方向为低碳绿色、区域经济等。E-mail:wangshaohua0813@126.com。
