摘要
减污降碳协同增效是推动中国经济社会全面绿色转型的关键路径。黄河流域作为中国重要的能源和煤化工基地,其经济发展面临严峻的生态环境治理压力,亟需通过减污降碳协同增效实现经济高质量发展。本文基于大气污染、水污染和碳排放构建减污降碳协同评价指标体系,采用复合系统协同模型评估黄河流域减污降碳协同现状,运用空间自回归模型分析产业绿色发展对减污降碳协同的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:(1)黄河流域城市减污降碳协同水平整体呈下降趋势,并出现两极分化;(2)产业绿色发展可显著提升减污降碳协同水平;(3)数字化水平、科技投入可以增强产业绿色发展对减污降碳协同的正向作用,但对外开放水平的影响并不显著;(4)产业绿色发展对减污降碳协同的促进作用在中游城市、资源型城市、政策支持城市及环境治理压力较大的城市更为突出。本文研究结果为从产业发展角度提高减污降碳协同、促进黄河流域高质量发展提供了新的见解。
The synergistic efficiency in pollution reduction and carbon mitigation represents a critical pathway for promoting comprehensive green transformation of China’s economy and society.The Yellow River basin,as an important energy and coal chemical industry base in China,faces severe ecological and environmental governance pressures in its economic development,urgently requiring the achievement of high-quality economic development through pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy.This study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy based on air pollution,water pollution and carbon emissions.It employs a composite system synergy model to assess the current status of pollution reduction and carbon mitigation coordination in the Yellow River basin and utilizes spatial autoregressive models to analyze the impact and mechanisms of green industrial development on pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy.The research findings reveal that:(1)The overall level of urban pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy in the Yellow River basin shows a declining trend with increasing polarization;(2)Green industrial development can significantly enhance the level of pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy;(3)Digitalization levels and technological investment can strengthen the positive effect of green industrial development on pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy,while the impact of openness levels is not significant;(4)The promoting effect of green industrial development on pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy is more prominent in midstream cities,resource-based cities,policy-supported cities,and cities under greater environmental governance pressure.The research results provide new insights for improving pollution reduction and carbon mitigation synergy and promoting high-quality development in the Yellow River basin from an industrial development perspective.
作者
徐孝民
李伟
XU Xiao-min;LI Wei
出处
《中国地质大学学报(社会科学版)》
北大核心
2025年第4期95-109,共15页
Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“我国煤炭消费有序减量替代的多智能体模拟与路径选择研究”(23AGL033)
中央高校基本科研业务费(中国矿业大学(北京)博士研究生拔尖创新人才培育基金)“黄河流域城市减污降碳协同治理研究”(BBJ2024073)。
关键词
产业绿色发展
减污降碳协同
黄河流域
数字化水平
科技投入
industrial green development
synergy of pollution and carbon reduction
Yellow River basin
digitization level
science and technology investment
作者简介
徐孝民,中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院、决策科学与大数据研究院,xxm@cumtb.edu.cn(北京100083)。
