交通发展、经济活动空间变化与区域经济增长格局--基于空间计量模型的分析

Transport Development,Spatial Changes in Economic Activities,and Regional Economic Growth Patterns:An Analysis Based on Spatial Econometric Models

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摘要从长期效应看,交通发展对区域经济增长的影响宜区分出根本原因与直接原因。文章提出,引致经济活动空间变化是交通发展影响区域经济增长的根本原因之一。交通发展所引致的经济活动空间变化表现为经济活动空间扩大与空间深化这两个相互联系的过程。经济活动空间变化经由范围效应、竞争效应、创新效应而影响区域经济增长。选择客运平均运距作为描述经济活动空间变化的变量,采用迭代GMM估计、空间滞后模型和空间GMM估计方法,运用我国省域面板数据所做的分析表明,客运平均运距对人均GDP的产出弹性区间为0.08~0.12。这说明,交通发展通过扩大经济活动空间而对区域经济增长产生了正向促进作用。这个结论对于深入认识和利用交通发展对区域经济增长的作用提供了新思路。 From a long-term perspective,the impact of transport development on regional economic growth should distinguish between fundamental and direct causes.This paper proposes that the induced spatial changes in economic activities are one of the fundamental reasons why transport development affects regional economic growth.The spatial changes in economic activities induced by transport development manifest as two interrelated processes:the expansion and deepening of economic activity spaces.These changes influence regional economic growth through scope effects,competition effects,and innovation effects.By selecting the average passenger travel distance as a variable to describe the spatial changes in economic activities,and using iterative GMM estimation,spatial lag models,and spatial GMM estimation methods,the analysis based on provincial panel data from China shows that the output elasticity of the average passenger travel distance on per capita GDP ranges between 0.08 and 0.12.This indicates that transport development positively promotes regional economic growth by expanding the space of economic activities.This conclusion provides new insights for a deeper understanding and utilization of the role of transport development in regional economic growth.

作者种照辉覃成林 CHONG Zhaohui;QIN Chengin(Business School,Shantou University,Shantou 515800,China;School of Economics,Jinan University,Guangzhou 510632,China)

机构地区汕头大学商学院暨南大学经济学院

出处《华南地理学报》 2025年第1期94-106,共13页 South China Geographical Journal

基金教育部人文社会科学规划项目(20YJC790189)。

关键词区域经济增长经济活动空间交通发展空间外溢空间GMM估计 regional economic growth economic activity space transport development spatial spillover spatial GMM estimation

分类号 F224 [经济管理—国民经济] F812 [经济管理—财政学] F127 [经济管理—世界经济]

作者简介种照辉(1990-),男,河南濮阳人,博士,副教授,硕士生导师,主要从事区域经济网络组织研究,E-mail:zhchong@stu.edu.cn;通信作者:种照辉(1990-),男,河南濮阳人,博士,副教授,硕士生导师,主要从事区域经济网络组织研究,E-mail:zhchong@stu.edu.cn。