摘要
为协调湖北省水资源供需平衡关系、推动经济可持续发展,从水资源、社会、经济、生态环境四个层面构建水资源承载力评价指标体系,采用熵值—突变级数法对2022年湖北省17个市(州)水资源承载力进行综合评价。结果表明,各子系统对湖北省水资源承载力的贡献度差异显著,其中水资源子系统和生态环境子系统贡献度相对较高;水资源承载力综合评价结果在0.7692~0.9352之间,部分地区水资源承载力处于超载阶段(Ⅳ级),承载能力较弱。水资源承载力评价值与实际状况基本一致,表明模型设定科学合理,可应用于湖北省水资源承载力评价,并为其他地区水资源承载力评价提供参考。
To coordinate the supply-demand balance of water resources in Hubei Province and promote economic development,a water resource carrying capacity evaluation index system was constructed from four aspects of water resources,society,economy and ecological environment.The entropy-catastrophe progression method was applied to evaluating the water resource carrying capacity of 17 cities in Hubei Province in 2022.The results show that there are significant differences in the contribution of each subsystem to the water resource capacity of Hubei Province,with the water resource subsystem and the ecological environment subsystem having higher contributions.The evaluation results of water resource capacity range from 0.7692 to 0.9352.The carrying capacity of water resources in some areas is in an overloaded stage(LevelⅣ),and the carrying capacity is weak.The evaluation results of water resource carrying capacity are consistent with the actual situation,indicating that the model setting is scientific and reasonable,and can be applied to the evaluation of water resource carrying capacity in Hubei Province,which provides reference for the evaluation of water resource carrying capacity in other regions.
作者
张熠
孙培培
王先甲
ZHANG Yi;SUN Pei-pei;WANG Xian-jia(School of Economics and Management,Hubei University of Technology,Wuhan 430068,China;Hubei Digital Industrial Economy Development Research Center,Wuhan 430068,China;Hubei Industrial Research Institute,Wuhan 430068,China;School of Economics and Management,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China)
出处
《水电能源科学》
北大核心
2025年第2期49-53,共5页
Water Resources and Power
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71904046,72031009)。
关键词
水资源承载力
评价指标体系
熵值—突变级数法
湖北省
water resources carrying capacity
evaluation index system
entropy-catastrophe progression method
Hubei Province
作者简介
张熠(1982-),女,博士、教授、博导,研究方向为决策分析与评价、水资源管理,E-mail:hgzhangyi@163.com。
