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近20年国内外甜樱桃产业发展动态及对未来的预测 被引量:82

The development situation of sweet cherry industry in China and abroad during recent two decates and prognostication for the future
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摘要 分析了国内外近20 a(年)甜樱桃产业发展动态和人均占有量。由于种植效益高推动了世界甜樱桃种植业的持续发展。我国甜樱桃种植业虽然起步较晚,但近10 a高速发展,2013年我国甜樱桃栽培面积已超过130 000hm2,居世界首位。今后一段时间我国甜樱桃种植业将有更快的发展。预测我国2025年甜樱桃栽培面积将达200 000~213 300 hm2,产量达103.98万~121.31万t。届时我国人均甜樱桃占有量还不足1 kg,应不会出现生产过剩。 This paper analyses the development situation of sweet cherry industry in China and abroad,and average consumption per capita in the World. Because of the high income for sweet cherry industry,the industry has been developing continuously for two decates in the World. Despite the sweet cherry industry of China started later than other countries, the industry of China is developing rapidly than other countries recent years. And the plantation area of the crop of China was more than 130 000 ha in 2013,which was the largest in the World. We prognosticate that the plantation area of sweet cherry in China in2025 would be 200 000 to 213 300 ha and produce quantity would be 1 039 800 to 1 213 100 t, less than1 kg per capita, and not overproduced in China.
出处 《果树学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第S1期1-6,共6页 Journal of Fruit Science
关键词 甜樱桃 发展形势 预测 Sweet cherry Development situation Prognostication
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