产业间要素配置与贸易网络地位被引量：2

Inter-industry Factor Allocation and Trade Network Status

导出

摘要在生产、销售全球化背景下,一国可以凭借其在贸易网络中的地位,从国际贸易往来中获取更大利益,并逐步提升自身的经贸话语权,而这一过程与合理的生产要素配置密不可分。作为我国经济增长的重要基石,以制造业为代表的工业化体系在过去较长时间内得到了长足的发展。然而,近年来,受多方面因素影响,工业体系的要素配置水平呈快速下降趋势。基于理论与实证分析,本文研究表明,制造业生产要素配置水平的过快下降将导致我国产业在全球贸易网络中偏离核心枢纽位置,且主要表现在出口贸易网络中。机制分析表明,要素配置水平的过快下降将导致资源错配加剧、生产成本上升、地区创业热情萎缩,进而作用于产业在全球贸易网络中的地位。而丰裕的人力资本、新型工业化进程的推进、完善的市场机制与积极的产业政策则显著缓解了上述不利影响。在“保持制造业比重基本稳定,巩固壮大实体经济根基”这一发展理念的背景下,本文的研究结论对我国下一阶段经济转型过程中,特别是新型工业化与数字经济发展进程中,相关产业政策的制定提供了有益参考。 In the era of globalization,the deepening of the international division of labor and the strategic global distribution of production and distribution activities have elevated the significance of nations'positions within the trade network.The robust development of the manufacturing sector in China,the world's second-largest economy,exerts a profound influence on the dynamics of the global trade network.In recent years,China's industrial system,especially the manufacturing industry,has experienced rapid transformations,and the decline in factor allocation efficiency has attracted considerable attention.The manufacturing industry's diminished output and outward flow of factors may affect China's position in the global trade network,with repercussions for its economic and trade negotiations.In this context,a thorough study of the correlation between inter-industry factor allocation and the status of the global trade network is of great theoretical and practical significance for understanding the new pattern of international trade and promoting the high-quality development of China's economy.The results are as follows.Firstly,the rapid decline in the efficiency of production factor allocation has significantly lowered the position of Chinese industries in the global trade network,which is especially evident in the export trade network.Secondly,the impact of the decline in the manufacturing industry's factor allocation efficiency on various regions and different types of manufacturing industries exhibits heterogeneity.More importantly,the magnitude of this impact is intricately linked to the speed of factor allocation changes.Thirdly,the decline in factor allocation efficiency intensifies the mismatches between labor and capital resources,escalates the labor and financial costs for manufacturing enterprises,dampens regional entrepreneurial enthusiasm,and impedes the optimization of industrial structures.Fourthly,enhancements in labor quality,the advancement of new industrialization initiatives,the refinement of market mechanisms,and the implementation of proactive industrial policies can effectively mitigate the adverse effects of declining factor allocation efficiency.This paper yields the following four theoretical contributions and practical implications.(1)Combined analysis of trade network and factor allocation.This study pioneers an integrated approach to trade network analysis and factor allocation,establishing a comprehensive analytical framework that offers a novel lens for exam-ining shifts in industrial position in the global trade network.(2)Heterogeneity analysis.By distinguishing between regions and industry types,the study elucidates the diverse im-pacts of factor allocation changes on trade network status,thereby enriching the research in industrial geography and international trade.(3)Mechanism exploration.The study not only identifies the negative impacts of declining factor allocation efficiency on trade network status but also delves into the underlying economic mechanisms,such as resource mismatches,production costs,entrepreneurial enthusiasm,and industrial synergies,providing a theoretical foundation for relevant policy formulation.(4)Analysis of policy regulating effects:The study assesses how elements like human capital,new industrialization,market mechanisms,and industrial policies can regulate the effects of factor allocation changes,offering insights for crafting effective industrial policies and bolstering industrial competitiveness.In conclusion,this research not only offers a novel theoretical perspective for understanding the industrial position changes amid the current globalized context but also furnishes policymakers with invaluable insights into enhancing industrial competitiveness by optimizing production factor allocation during economic transitions.Through in-depth analysis and empirical validation,the study underscores the importance of ongoing optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure,fostering technological innovation and talent development,and refining market mechanisms and industrial policies in the context of economic globalization.

作者王孝松周钰丁 WANG Xiaosong;ZHOU Yuding(Institute of China's Economic Reform and Development,Renmin University of China;School of Economics,Renmin University of China;School of International Trade and Economics,University of International Business and Economics)

机构地区中国人民大学中国经济改革与发展研究院中国人民大学经济学院对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院

出处《经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第10期75-93,共19页 Economic Research Journal

基金国家自然科学基金重点项目“大国竞合背景下的产业链韧性研究”(72333004) 国家社会科学基金“共建‘一带一路’进程中贸易与投资协同发展研究”(23VRC012)的资助。

关键词要素配置贸易网络经济转型新型工业化数字经济 Factor Allocation Trade Network Economic Transformation New Industrialization Digital Economy